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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Perugia v Vis Pesaro: numbers & prediction

Coppa Italia Serie C · Italy · Stadio Renato Curi

Perugia

DDWDD
1–2
FT

Vis Pesaro

DLLLL
Perugia 43%Draw 23%Vis Pesaro 34% Expected goals 1.24 – 1.05
79%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.26 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓

9/10Rating
1.20Odds
GG

Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.00 – our chance 55% vs 50% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultPerugia to win ✗43% · @2.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · @2.00
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.24

Perugia vs Vis Pesaro: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Perugia welcome Vis Pesaro to Stadio Renato Curi for a Coppa Italia Serie C fixture on Saturday 15 August (20:00 WAT).

Current form

Perugia, last 5: DDWDD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Forli, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.

Vis Pesaro, last 5: DLLLL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Modena, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.

Momentum favours Perugia, collecting 1.7 points per game to 0.2 for Vis Pesaro.

Head to head

When they last met (29 Mar 2026) it ended Vis Pesaro 0–1 Perugia.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Perugia 1.2 xG, Vis Pesaro 1.0 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 40%, GG 55%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Perugia 43%, draw 23%, Vis Pesaro 34%.
  • GG/NG: GG (55%) at 2.00.
  • Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.00 – the bookmaker implies 50%, our ratings say 55%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (79%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Perugia 1–1 Vis Pesaro. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Perugia43%fair 2.32 · @2.15
Draw23%fair 4.27 · @3.00
Vis Pesaro34%fair 2.98 · @3.20
2.29Expected goals
1.24Perugia xG
1.05Vis Pesaro xG
55%Both score
40%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
1–013%
0–111%
0–010%
2–18%
2–08%

From our goals model: Perugia 1.2 – 1.0 Vis Pesaro expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultPerugia to win ✗43%2.322.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77%1.311.30
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓55%1.832.00 ▲
Draw no betPerugia (draw no bet) ✗56%1.78–
Asian handicapVis Pesaro +1 (Asian handicap) ✓77%1.30–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓66%1.531.44
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗60%1.671.57
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79%1.261.20
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓90%1.111.06
First team to scorePerugia to score first49%2.05–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗46%2.16–
Half-time / full-timeHT Perugia / FT Perugia ✗23%4.30–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8%12.24–

Recent results

Perugia – last 6

DDWDDW
26 Apr@ Forli1–1D
12 Apr@ Ternana2–2D
29 Mar@ Vis Pesaro1–0W
20 Marvs Torres1–1D
15 Mar@ Arezzo1–1D
9 Marvs Pontedera2–1W
1.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Vis Pesaro – last 6

DLLLLL
8 Aug@ Modena0–0D
5 Aug@ Cesena0–3L
31 Julvs Benevento1–2L
23 Jul@ Venezia0–8L
26 Aprvs Sambenedettese2–3L
29 Marvs Perugia0–1L
0.5Scored / game
2.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

29 Mar 2026Vis Pesaro v Perugia0–1
Perugia vs Vis Pesaro head-to-head page →

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FT Salernitana1 Scafatese2 166%1.62X23%3.50211%4.75 1.9–0.7xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 73%@1.30 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Perugia vs Vis Pesaro?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.

Who will win Perugia vs Vis Pesaro?

On our numbers Perugia have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Vis Pesaro 34%.

How many goals will there be in Perugia vs Vis Pesaro?

We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Perugia vs Vis Pesaro?

Our predicted score is Perugia 1–1 Vis Pesaro, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.

When is Perugia vs Vis Pesaro?

Perugia vs Vis Pesaro (Coppa Italia Serie C) kicks off on Saturday 15 August 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Renato Curi.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.