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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Giugliano v Sorrento: numbers & prediction

Coppa Italia Serie C · Italy · Stadio Alberto De Cristofaro

Giugliano

LWLLL
0–0
FTPens 2–3

Sorrento

WDLLL
Giugliano 37%Draw 23%Sorrento 40% Expected goals 1.16 – 1.24
77%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.29 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.22Odds
2

Value bet: Sorrento to win @ 3.00 – our chance 40% vs 33% implied by the price (edge +21%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultSorrento to win ✗40% · @3.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗57% · @1.91
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.38

Giugliano vs Sorrento: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

20:00 WAT, Sunday 16 August: Giugliano v Sorrento in the Coppa Italia Serie C, played at Stadio Alberto De Cristofaro.

Current form

Giugliano, last 5: LWLLL Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Catanzaro, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.

Sorrento, last 5: WDLLL Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Team Altamura, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Giugliano 1.2 xG, Sorrento 1.2 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 43%, GG 57%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Giugliano 37%, draw 23%, Sorrento 40%.
  • GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.91.
  • Price worth noting: Sorrento to win @3.00 – the bookmaker implies 33%, our ratings say 40%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (77%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Giugliano 1–1 Sorrento. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Giugliano37%fair 2.73 · @2.20
Draw23%fair 4.35 · @3.10
Sorrento40%fair 2.47 · @3.00
2.39Expected goals
1.16Giugliano xG
1.24Sorrento xG
57%Both score
43%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
0–111%
1–011%
0–09%
1–28%
2–18%

From our goals model: Giugliano 1.2 – 1.2 Sorrento expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultSorrento to win ✗40%2.473.00 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77%1.301.28
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗57%1.741.91 ▲
Draw no betSorrento (draw no bet)53%1.90–
Asian handicapGiugliano +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓62%1.62–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗69%1.451.36
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓57%1.751.65
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77%1.291.22
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓89%1.121.07
First team to scoreSorrento to score first ✗47%2.13–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓45%2.21–
Half-time / full-timeHT Sorrento / FT Sorrento ✗22%4.59–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8%12.38–

Recent results

Giugliano – last 6

LWLLLW
5 Aug@ Catanzaro0–3L
6 Aprvs Crotone1–0W
29 Mar@ Casarano0–2L
22 Mar@ Audace Cerignola0–1L
8 Mar@ Siracusa1–2L
5 Marvs SS Monopoli2–0W
0.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Sorrento – last 6

WDLLLL
6 Aprvs Team Altamura2–0W
22 Marvs Crotone2–2D
15 Mar@ Audace Cerignola2–3L
8 Marvs Benevento0–2L
5 Mar@ Latina0–2L
1 Mar@ Cosenza2–3L
1.3Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Giugliano and Sorrento.

Giugliano vs Sorrento head-to-head page →

More Coppa Italia Serie C predictions

League hub
FT Dolomiti Bellunesi1 Treviso0 148%2.10X23%3.10229%3.20 1.5–1.0xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 75%@1.25 ✓
FT Juventus U231 Forli1 Pens 2–4 148%2.20X23%3.10229%3.00 1.5–1.1xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 73%@1.30 ✓
FT Alcione0 Novara1 138%2.15X23%3.00239%3.20 1.2–1.2xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 78%@1.22 ✓
FT Bari1 Casarano0 141%2.10X22%3.30237%3.10 1.3–1.3xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 73%@1.28 ✗
FT Crotone0 Cosenza2 145%2.20X23%3.20232%2.88 1.4–1.1xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 74%@1.28 ✓
FT Foggia1 Team Altamura2 129%3.00X23%3.00247%2.25 1.0–1.3xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 79%@1.20 ✓
FT Latina1 Ostia Mare1 Pens 3–0 138%2.05X23%3.10239%3.30 1.2–1.2xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 76%@1.25 ✓
FT Lecco0 Desenzano Calvina0 Pens 3–4 163%1.53X23%3.60214%5.50 1.8–0.7xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 75%@1.25 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Giugliano vs Sorrento?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win Giugliano vs Sorrento?

On our numbers Giugliano have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Sorrento 40%.

How many goals will there be in Giugliano vs Sorrento?

We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Giugliano vs Sorrento?

Our predicted score is Giugliano 1–1 Sorrento, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.

When is Giugliano vs Sorrento?

Giugliano vs Sorrento (Coppa Italia Serie C) kicks off on Sunday 16 August 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Alberto De Cristofaro.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.