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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Latina v Ostia Mare: numbers & prediction

Coppa Italia Serie C · Italy · Stadio Domenico Francioni

Latina

DWLLL
1–1
FTPens 3–0

Ostia Mare

LLWLW
Latina 38%Draw 23%Ostia Mare 39% Expected goals 1.21 – 1.22
76%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.31 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.25Odds
2

Value bet: Ostia Mare to win @ 3.30 – our chance 39% vs 30% implied by the price (edge +28%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultOstia Mare to win ✗39% · @3.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @1.91
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.65

Latina vs Ostia Mare: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Ostia Mare travel to face Latina on Sunday 16 August in the Coppa Italia Serie C, with Stadio Domenico Francioni the venue – the ball rolls at 20:00 WAT.

Current form

Latina, last 5: DWLLL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Audace Cerignola, away. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.

Ostia Mare, last 5: LLWLW Their latest outing: 0–4 defeat to Lazio, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 2.2 conceded per game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Latina 1.2 xG, Ostia Mare 1.2 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 44%, GG 56%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Latina 38%, draw 23%, Ostia Mare 39%.
  • GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.91.
  • Price worth noting: Ostia Mare to win @3.30 – the bookmaker implies 30%, our ratings say 39%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (76%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Latina 1–1 Ostia Mare. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Latina38%fair 2.60 · @2.05
Draw23%fair 4.36 · @3.10
Ostia Mare39%fair 2.59 · @3.30
2.43Expected goals
1.21Latina xG
1.22Ostia Mare xG
56%Both score
44%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
0–111%
1–011%
0–09%
1–28%
2–18%

From our goals model: Latina 1.2 – 1.2 Ostia Mare expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultOstia Mare to win ✗39%2.593.30 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77%1.301.28
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓56%1.791.91 ▲
Draw no betOstia Mare (draw no bet)50%1.99–
Asian handicapLatina +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓64%1.57–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓69%1.441.36
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓56%1.781.67
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76%1.311.25
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓88%1.131.08
First team to scoreOstia Mare to score first46%2.19–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓45%2.23–
Half-time / full-timeHT Ostia Mare / FT Ostia Mare ✗21%4.83–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8%12.65–

Recent results

Latina – last 6

DWLLLW
6 Apr@ Audace Cerignola1–1D
1 Aprvs Potenza1–0W
22 Mar@ Cosenza1–3L
18 Mar@ Potenza1–3L
8 Mar@ Salernitana1–2L
5 Marvs Sorrento2–0W
1.2Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Ostia Mare – last 6

LLWLWW
5 Aug@ Lazio0–4L
26 Julvs Benevento0–2L
13 May@ Grosseto3–2W
3 May@ Real Giulianova0–4L
26 Aprvs Termoli Calcio1–0W
19 Aprvs L'Aquila2–1W
1.0Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Latina and Ostia Mare.

Latina vs Ostia Mare head-to-head page →

More Coppa Italia Serie C predictions

League hub
FT Dolomiti Bellunesi1 Treviso0 148%2.10X23%3.10229%3.20 1.5–1.0xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 75%@1.25 ✓
FT Juventus U231 Forli1 Pens 2–4 148%2.20X23%3.10229%3.00 1.5–1.1xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 73%@1.30 ✓
FT Alcione0 Novara1 138%2.15X23%3.00239%3.20 1.2–1.2xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 78%@1.22 ✓
FT Bari1 Casarano0 141%2.10X22%3.30237%3.10 1.3–1.3xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 73%@1.28 ✗
FT Crotone0 Cosenza2 145%2.20X23%3.20232%2.88 1.4–1.1xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 74%@1.28 ✓
FT Foggia1 Team Altamura2 129%3.00X23%3.00247%2.25 1.0–1.3xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 79%@1.20 ✓
FT Giugliano0 Sorrento0 Pens 2–3 137%2.20X23%3.10240%3.00 1.2–1.2xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 77%@1.22 ✓
FT Lecco0 Desenzano Calvina0 Pens 3–4 163%1.53X23%3.60214%5.50 1.8–0.7xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 75%@1.25 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Latina vs Ostia Mare?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win Latina vs Ostia Mare?

On our numbers Latina have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Ostia Mare 39%.

How many goals will there be in Latina vs Ostia Mare?

We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Latina vs Ostia Mare?

Our predicted score is Latina 1–1 Ostia Mare, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.

When is Latina vs Ostia Mare?

Latina vs Ostia Mare (Coppa Italia Serie C) kicks off on Sunday 16 August 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Domenico Francioni.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.