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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Lecco v Desenzano Calvina: numbers & prediction

Coppa Italia Serie C · Italy · Stadio Rigamonti Ceppi

Lecco

LLDDD
0–0
FTPens 3–4

Desenzano Calvina

LDLWD
Lecco 63%Draw 23%Desenzano Calvina 14% Expected goals 1.78 – 0.71
75%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.33 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.25Odds

Picks by market

ResultLecco to win ✗63% · @1.53
Double chanceLecco or draw ✓86% · @1.10
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓51% · @1.62
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15% · fair 6.78

Lecco vs Desenzano Calvina: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Lecco welcome Desenzano Calvina to Stadio Rigamonti Ceppi for a Coppa Italia Serie C fixture on Sunday 16 August (20:00 WAT).

Current form

Lecco, last 5: LLDDD Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to Atalanta II, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.

Desenzano Calvina, last 5: LDLWD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Scafatese, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.7 conceded per game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Lecco 1.8 xG, Desenzano Calvina 0.7 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 45%, GG 49%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Lecco 63%, draw 23%, Desenzano Calvina 14%.
  • GG/NG: NG (51%) at 1.62.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (75%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Lecco 1–0 Desenzano Calvina. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Lecco63%fair 1.59 · @1.53
Draw23%fair 4.29 · @3.60
Desenzano Calvina14%fair 7.17 · @5.50
2.49Expected goals
1.78Lecco xG
0.71Desenzano Calvina xG
49%Both score
45%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–015%
2–013%
1–110%
2–19%
0–08%
3–08%

From our goals model: Lecco 1.8 – 0.7 Desenzano Calvina expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultLecco to win ✗63%1.591.53
Double chanceLecco or draw ✓86%1.161.10
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✓51%1.961.62
Draw no betLecco (draw no bet)82%1.22–
Asian handicapLecco -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗63%1.58–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗71%1.411.33
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓55%1.831.73
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75%1.331.25
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓88%1.141.08
First team to scoreLecco to score first ✗66%1.52–
Half-time resultLecco ahead at half-time ✗44%2.26–
Half-time / full-timeHT Lecco / FT Lecco ✗40%2.52–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15%6.78–

Recent results

Lecco – last 6

LLDDDW
8 Augvs Atalanta II2–3L
2 Aug@ Hellas Verona0–3L
20 May@ Catania3–3D
17 Mayvs Catania0–0D
13 Mayvs Pianese1–1D
6 Mayvs Giana Erminio2–1W
1.3Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Desenzano Calvina – last 6

LDLWDW
31 May@ Scafatese0–1L
24 Mayvs Scafatese1–1D
17 Mayvs Grosseto0–1L
3 May@ Sangiuliano City5–0W
26 Aprvs Pistoiese1–1D
19 Apr@ Imolese1–0W
1.3Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Lecco and Desenzano Calvina.

Lecco vs Desenzano Calvina head-to-head page →

More Coppa Italia Serie C predictions

League hub
FT Dolomiti Bellunesi1 Treviso0 148%2.10X23%3.10229%3.20 1.5–1.0xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 75%@1.25 ✓
FT Juventus U231 Forli1 Pens 2–4 148%2.20X23%3.10229%3.00 1.5–1.1xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 73%@1.30 ✓
FT Alcione0 Novara1 138%2.15X23%3.00239%3.20 1.2–1.2xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 78%@1.22 ✓
FT Bari1 Casarano0 141%2.10X22%3.30237%3.10 1.3–1.3xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 73%@1.28 ✗
FT Crotone0 Cosenza2 145%2.20X23%3.20232%2.88 1.4–1.1xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 74%@1.28 ✓
FT Foggia1 Team Altamura2 129%3.00X23%3.00247%2.25 1.0–1.3xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 79%@1.20 ✓
FT Giugliano0 Sorrento0 Pens 2–3 137%2.20X23%3.10240%3.00 1.2–1.2xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 77%@1.22 ✓
FT Latina1 Ostia Mare1 Pens 3–0 138%2.05X23%3.10239%3.30 1.2–1.2xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 76%@1.25 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Lecco vs Desenzano Calvina?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win Lecco vs Desenzano Calvina?

On our numbers Lecco have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Desenzano Calvina 14%.

How many goals will there be in Lecco vs Desenzano Calvina?

We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Lecco vs Desenzano Calvina?

Our predicted score is Lecco 1–0 Desenzano Calvina, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.

When is Lecco vs Desenzano Calvina?

Lecco vs Desenzano Calvina (Coppa Italia Serie C) kicks off on Sunday 16 August 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Rigamonti Ceppi.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.