Birmingham City U21 v Arsenal U21 Prediction & Expected Goals (18 Sep) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultArsenal U21 to win ✗62% · @1.50

Double chanceEither team to win ✗83% · @1.17

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗72% · @1.40

GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗84% · fair 1.19

Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗7% · fair 13.93

Birmingham City U21 vs Arsenal U21: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

13:00 WAT, Friday 18 September: Birmingham City U21 v Arsenal U21 in the Premier League 2 Division One, played at The Knighthead Training and Academy Grounds. In the table, Birmingham City U21 are 30th, in the drop zone, on 3 points after 6 matches; Arsenal U21 are 21st (lower half) with 7.

Current form

Birmingham City U21, last 5: WLDDW Their latest outing: 4–0 win over Gillingham FC U21, away. 2.2 goals per outing makes them dangerous.

Arsenal U21, last 5: WLDDL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Leyton Orient, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 2.5 conceded per game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Birmingham City U21 1.7 xG, Arsenal U21 2.9 xG – a total near 4.6. That is an open game on paper: 84% for three or more goals, 72% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Birmingham City U21 21%, draw 17%, Arsenal U21 62%.
GG/NG: GG (72%) at 1.40.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (72%, odds 1.40). Most likely score in line with that pick: Birmingham City U21 1–2 Arsenal U21. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Birmingham City U2121%fair 4.81 · @4.33

Draw17%fair 5.77 · @4.40

Arsenal U2162%fair 1.62 · @1.50

4.60Expected goals

1.71Birmingham City U21 xG

2.89Arsenal U21 xG

72%Both score

84%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–27%

1–37%

2–26%

2–36%

1–45%

1–15%

From our goals model: Birmingham City U21 1.7 – 2.9 Arsenal U21 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Arsenal U21 to win ✗	62%	1.62	1.50
Double chance	Either team to win ✗	83%	1.21	1.17
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✗	72%	1.39	1.40
Draw no bet	Arsenal U21 (draw no bet)	75%	1.34	–
Asian handicap	Arsenal U21 -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗	62%	1.61	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✗	94%	1.06	–
Over/under 2.5 goals	Over 2.5 goals ✗	84%	1.19	–
Over/under 3.5 goals	Over 3.5 goals ✗	67%	1.48	–
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	51%	1.95	–
First team to score	Arsenal U21 to score first ✗	62%	1.61	–
Half-time result	Arsenal U21 ahead at half-time ✗	49%	2.05	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Arsenal U21 / FT Arsenal U21 ✗	42%	2.41	–
Correct score	Correct score 1–2 ✗	7%	13.93	–

Birmingham City U21 – last 6

WLDDWL

15 Sep	@ Gillingham FC U21	4–0	W
11 Sep	@ Norwich City U21	2–4	L
8 Sep	@ Sutton Utd	1–1	D
31 Aug	@ Tottenham Hotspur U21	3–3	D
18 Aug	@ Boston United	3–2	W
14 Aug	@ Swansea City U21	0–3	L

2.2Scored / game

2.2Conceded / game

67%Both scored

83%Over 2.5

Arsenal U21 – last 6

WLDDLL

15 Sep	@ Leyton Orient	2–1	W
12 Sep	vs Chelsea U21	1–4	L
31 Aug	@ Brighton U21	2–2	D
22 Aug	vs Crystal Palace U21	1–1	D
18 Aug	@ Barnet	1–5	L
13 Apr	@ Crystal Palace U21	0–2	L

1.2Scored / game

2.5Conceded / game

83%Both scored

67%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Southampton U21	6	5	1	0	+11	16
2	Chelsea U21	7	5	1	1	+8	16
3	Tottenham Hotspur U21	7	5	1	1	+7	16
4	Fulham U21	7	4	1	2	+5	13
5	Norwich City U21	7	4	1	2	+1	13
6	Nottingham Forest U21	7	4	1	2	0	13
7	Liverpool U21	6	3	2	1	+5	11
8	Reading U21	7	3	2	2	+1	11
9	Manchester United U21	5	3	1	1	+8	10
10	Leeds United U21	6	3	1	2	+3	10
11	Sunderland U21	7	3	1	3	+2	10
12	AFC Bournemouth U21	7	3	1	3	-3	10
13	Everton U21	6	2	3	1	+2	9
14	Brentford U21	7	3	0	4	0	9
15	West Ham United U21	7	2	3	2	0	9
16	Blackburn Rovers U21	5	3	0	2	0	9
17	Crystal Palace U21	6	2	2	2	+1	8
18	Derby County U21	7	2	2	3	0	8
19	Brighton U21	6	2	2	2	0	8
20	Aston Villa U21	6	2	2	2	-3	8
21	Arsenal U21	7	1	4	2	-3	7
22	Manchester City U21	4	2	0	2	+2	6
23	Ipswich Town U21	4	2	0	2	+1	6
24	Wolves U21	5	2	0	3	-7	6
25	Leicester City U21	6	1	2	3	-5	5
26	Stoke City U21	7	1	1	5	-3	4
27	Burnley U21	7	1	1	5	-4	4
28	Newcastle United U21	5	1	1	3	-7	4
29	Middlesbrough U21	7	0	3	4	-5	3
30	Birmingham City U21	6	0	3	3	-11	3
31	West Bromwich Albion U21	5	0	1	4	-6	1

Team

Pts

Southampton U21

+11

Chelsea U21

Tottenham Hotspur U21

Fulham U21

Norwich City U21

Nottingham Forest U21

Liverpool U21

Reading U21

Manchester United U21

-3

-3

-3

-7

-5

-3

-4

-7

-5

-11

West Bromwich Albion U21

-6

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Birmingham City U21 vs Arsenal U21?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.

Who will win Birmingham City U21 vs Arsenal U21?

On our numbers Birmingham City U21 have a 21% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Arsenal U21 62%.

How many goals will there be in Birmingham City U21 vs Arsenal U21?

We expect about 4.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 84% likely and both teams score 72% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Birmingham City U21 vs Arsenal U21?

Our predicted score is Birmingham City U21 1–2 Arsenal U21, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.6 goals in total.

When is Birmingham City U21 vs Arsenal U21?

Birmingham City U21 vs Arsenal U21 (Premier League 2 Division One) kicks off on Friday 18 September 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time) at The Knighthead Training and Academy Grounds.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Birmingham City U21 v Arsenal U21: numbers & prediction