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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Aston Villa U21 v Middlesbrough U21: numbers & prediction

Premier League 2 Division One · England · Bodymoor Heath Training Ground
Aston Villa U21 47%Draw 18%Middlesbrough U21 35% Expected goals 1.99 – 1.71
69%
Betarazi pick

Over 2.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.45 · bookmaker 1.40 · Won ✓

7/10Rating
1.40Odds

Picks by market

ResultAston Villa U21 to win ✗47% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✗82% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · fair 1.71
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓69% · @1.40
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 11.95

Aston Villa U21 vs Middlesbrough U21: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Aston Villa U21 welcome Middlesbrough U21 to Bodymoor Heath Training Ground for a Premier League 2 Division One fixture on Friday 18 September (19:00 WAT). In the table, Aston Villa U21 are 20th, lower half, on 8 points after 6 matches; Middlesbrough U21 are 29th (in the drop zone) with 3.

Current form

Aston Villa U21, last 5: WDLLW Their latest outing: 5–1 win over Real Sociedad II, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 2 lost from 4. 2.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous.

Middlesbrough U21, last 5: DWLLW Their latest outing: 4–4 draw with Leeds United U21, at home. Away from home the record reads 3 won, 1 lost from 4. 3.5 goals per outing makes them dangerous.

Momentum favours Middlesbrough U21, collecting 1.7 points per game to 1.2 for Aston Villa U21.

Head to head

When they last met (10 Apr 2026) it ended Aston Villa U21 0–2 Middlesbrough U21.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Aston Villa U21 2.0 xG, Middlesbrough U21 1.7 xG – a total near 3.7. That is an open game on paper: 69% for three or more goals, 58% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Aston Villa U21 47%, draw 18%, Middlesbrough U21 35%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (69%, odds 1.40). Most likely score in line with that pick: Aston Villa U21 2–1 Middlesbrough U21. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Aston Villa U2147%fair 2.15 · @2.05
Draw18%fair 5.47 · @4.00
Middlesbrough U2135%fair 2.84 · @2.60
3.71Expected goals
1.99Aston Villa U21 xG
1.71Middlesbrough U21 xG
58%Both score
69%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–18%
2–18%
1–27%
2–27%
3–16%
1–05%

From our goals model: Aston Villa U21 2.0 – 1.7 Middlesbrough U21 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultAston Villa U21 to win ✗47%2.152.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✗82%1.221.17
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓58%1.71–
Draw no betAston Villa U21 (draw no bet)57%1.76–
Asian handicapMiddlesbrough U21 +1 (Asian handicap) ✓69%1.46–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓88%1.13–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓69%1.451.40
Over/under 3.5 goalsOver 3.5 goals ✓51%1.97–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓69%1.46–
First team to scoreAston Villa U21 to score first52%1.90–
Half-time resultAston Villa U21 ahead at half-time ✗36%2.77–
Half-time / full-timeHT Aston Villa U21 / FT Aston Villa U21 ✗28%3.61–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8%11.95–

Recent results

Aston Villa U21 – last 6

WDLLWL
15 Sepvs Real Sociedad II5–1W
11 Sep@ Fulham U213–3D
2 Sepvs Brondby U210–4L
28 Augvs Crystal Palace U210–2L
21 Augvs Brighton U212–1W
18 Aug@ Wigan2–3L
2.0Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Middlesbrough U21 – last 6

DWLLWW
13 Sepvs Leeds United U214–4D
9 Sep@ Tamworth3–1W
31 Aug@ AFC Bournemouth U211–3L
23 Augvs Norwich City U210–1L
18 Aug@ Solihull Moors3–1W
11 Aug@ Hartlepool10–0W
3.5Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

10 Apr 2026Aston Villa U21 v Middlesbrough U210–2
Aston Villa U21 vs Middlesbrough U21 head-to-head page →

Premier League 2 Division One table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Southampton U216510+1116
2Chelsea U217511+816
3Tottenham Hotspur U217511+716
4Fulham U217412+513
5Norwich City U217412+113
6Nottingham Forest U217412013
7Liverpool U216321+511
8Reading U217322+111
9Manchester United U215311+810
10Leeds United U216312+310
11Sunderland U217313+210
12AFC Bournemouth U217313-310
13Everton U216231+29
14Brentford U21730409
15West Ham United U21723209
16Blackburn Rovers U21530209
17Crystal Palace U216222+18
18Derby County U21722308
19Brighton U21622208
20Aston Villa U216222-38
21Arsenal U217142-37
22Manchester City U214202+26
23Ipswich Town U214202+16
24Wolves U215203-76
25Leicester City U216123-55
26Stoke City U217115-34
27Burnley U217115-44
28Newcastle United U215113-74
29Middlesbrough U217034-53
30Birmingham City U216033-113
31West Bromwich Albion U215014-61

More Premier League 2 Division One predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Aston Villa U21 vs Middlesbrough U21?

Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.

Who will win Aston Villa U21 vs Middlesbrough U21?

On our numbers Aston Villa U21 have a 47% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Middlesbrough U21 35%.

How many goals will there be in Aston Villa U21 vs Middlesbrough U21?

We expect about 3.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 69% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Aston Villa U21 vs Middlesbrough U21?

Our predicted score is Aston Villa U21 2–1 Middlesbrough U21, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.7 goals in total.

When is Aston Villa U21 vs Middlesbrough U21?

Aston Villa U21 vs Middlesbrough U21 (Premier League 2 Division One) kicks off on Friday 18 September 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Bodymoor Heath Training Ground.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.