Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.38 – our chance 54% vs 42% implied by the price (edge +30%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultHapoel Migdal HaEmek to win ✗74% · @1.22
Double chanceHapoel Migdal HaEmek or draw ✓93% · @1.02
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @2.38
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗78% · fair 1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–3 ✗8% · fair 12.18
Hapoel Ironi Arraba vs Hapoel Migdal HaEmek: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
13:30 WAT, Wednesday 30 September: Hapoel Ironi Arraba v Hapoel Migdal HaEmek in the Liga Alef. In the table, Hapoel Ironi Arraba are 13th, lower half, on 21 points after 22 matches; Hapoel Migdal HaEmek are 8th (upper half) with 31.
Current form
Hapoel Ironi Arraba, last 5: LLLWL Their latest outing: 1–4 defeat to Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Hapoel Migdal HaEmek, last 5: LWDWW Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to Hapoel Nazareth Illit, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 4. 2.5 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Momentum favours Hapoel Migdal HaEmek, collecting 1.7 points per game to 0.5 for Hapoel Ironi Arraba.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Hapoel Ironi Arraba 1.1 xG, Hapoel Migdal HaEmek 3.1 xG – a total near 4.1. That is an open game on paper: 78% for three or more goals, 54% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Hapoel Ironi Arraba 7%, draw 19%, Hapoel Migdal HaEmek 74%.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 2.38.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.38 – the bookmaker implies 42%, our ratings say 54%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Hapoel Migdal HaEmek to win (74%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Hapoel Ironi Arraba 1–3 Hapoel Migdal HaEmek. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Hapoel Ironi Arraba7%fair 13.66 · @10.00
Draw19%fair 5.25 · @5.00
Hapoel Migdal HaEmek74%fair 1.36 · @1.22
4.14Expected goals
1.09Hapoel Ironi Arraba xG
3.05Hapoel Migdal HaEmek xG
54%Both score
78%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–38%
1–28%
0–38%
0–27%
1–46%
0–46%
From our goals model: Hapoel Ironi Arraba 1.1 – 3.1 Hapoel Migdal HaEmek expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Hapoel Migdal HaEmek to win✗
74%
1.36
1.22
Double chance
Hapoel Migdal HaEmek or draw✓
93%
1.08
1.02
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
54%
1.84
2.38 ▲
Draw no bet
Hapoel Migdal HaEmek (draw no bet)
91%
1.10
–
Asian handicap
Hapoel Migdal HaEmek -1 (Asian handicap)✗
71%
1.41
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
92%
1.09
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
78%
1.28
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✗
59%
1.69
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
60%
1.66
–
First team to score
Hapoel Migdal HaEmek to score first✗
73%
1.38
–
Half-time result
Hapoel Migdal HaEmek ahead at half-time✗
58%
1.71
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Hapoel Migdal HaEmek / FT Hapoel Migdal HaEmek✗
54%
1.86
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–3✗
8%
12.18
–
Recent results
Hapoel Ironi Arraba – last 6
LLLWLL
24 Sep
@ Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed
1–4
L
19 Sep
vs Maccabi K. Ata Bialik
0–4
L
6 Sep
vs Beitar Nahariya
0–1
L
27 Feb
@ Hapoel Ironi Karmiel
2–1
W
22 Feb
vs Tzeirey Tamra
0–3
L
13 Feb
@ Ironi Nesher
1–3
L
0.7Scored / game
2.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Hapoel Migdal HaEmek – last 6
LWDWWL
24 Sep
vs Hapoel Nazareth Illit
2–3
L
18 Sep
@ Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed
4–2
W
5 Sep
@ Maccabi K. Ata Bialik
2–2
D
27 Feb
@ Tzeirey Tamra
2–0
W
19 Feb
vs Ironi Nesher
3–0
W
13 Feb
@ Maccabi Ahi Nazareth
2–4
L
2.5Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Hapoel Ironi Arraba and Hapoel Migdal HaEmek.
What is the prediction for Hapoel Ironi Arraba vs Hapoel Migdal HaEmek?
Our pick is Hapoel Migdal HaEmek to win with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Hapoel Ironi Arraba vs Hapoel Migdal HaEmek?
On our numbers Hapoel Ironi Arraba have a 7% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Hapoel Migdal HaEmek 74%.
How many goals will there be in Hapoel Ironi Arraba vs Hapoel Migdal HaEmek?
We expect about 4.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 78% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Hapoel Ironi Arraba vs Hapoel Migdal HaEmek?
Our predicted score is Hapoel Ironi Arraba 1–3 Hapoel Migdal HaEmek, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.1 goals in total.
When is Hapoel Ironi Arraba vs Hapoel Migdal HaEmek?
Hapoel Ironi Arraba vs Hapoel Migdal HaEmek (Liga Alef) kicks off on Wednesday 30 September 2026 at 13:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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