Value bet: Hapoel Herzliya to win @ 3.10 – our chance 36% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultMaccabi Kiryat Malachi to win ✗42% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗53% · @1.91
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.50
Maccabi Kiryat Malachi vs Hapoel Herzliya: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Hapoel Herzliya travel to face Maccabi Kiryat Malachi on Wednesday 30 September in the Liga Alef – the ball rolls at 14:00 WAT. In the table, Maccabi Kiryat Malachi are 5th, upper half, on 35 points after 22 matches; Hapoel Herzliya are 14th (in the drop zone) with 22. There are 13 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Maccabi Kiryat Malachi, last 5: WWWDW Their latest outing: 5–1 win over Dimona, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.2 a game lately.
Hapoel Herzliya, last 5: WDWWL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Tzeirey Tira, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.7 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Maccabi Kiryat Malachi, collecting 2.3 points per game to 1.8 for Hapoel Herzliya.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Maccabi Kiryat Malachi 1.4 xG, Hapoel Herzliya 1.3 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 52%, GG 53%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Maccabi Kiryat Malachi 42%, draw 23%, Hapoel Herzliya 36%.
GG/NG: GG (53%) at 1.91.
Price worth noting: Hapoel Herzliya to win @3.10 – the bookmaker implies 32%, our ratings say 36%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (53%, odds 1.91). Most likely score in line with that pick: Maccabi Kiryat Malachi 1–1 Hapoel Herzliya. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Maccabi Kiryat Malachi42%fair 2.39 · @2.10
Draw23%fair 4.43 · @3.20
Hapoel Herzliya36%fair 2.81 · @3.10
2.75Expected goals
1.44Maccabi Kiryat Malachi xG
1.31Hapoel Herzliya xG
53%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–09%
2–19%
0–18%
1–28%
2–07%
From our goals model: Maccabi Kiryat Malachi 1.4 – 1.3 Hapoel Herzliya expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Maccabi Kiryat Malachi to win✗
42%
2.39
2.10
Double chance
Either team to win✗
77%
1.29
1.33
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
53%
1.89
1.91
Draw no bet
Maccabi Kiryat Malachi (draw no bet)
54%
1.85
–
Asian handicap
Hapoel Herzliya +1 (Asian handicap)✓
76%
1.32
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
76%
1.32
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
52%
1.93
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
70%
1.42
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
86%
1.17
–
First team to score
Maccabi Kiryat Malachi to score first✗
49%
2.04
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
42%
2.40
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Maccabi Kiryat Malachi / FT Maccabi Kiryat Malachi✗
24%
4.22
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.50
–
Recent results
Maccabi Kiryat Malachi – last 6
WWWDWD
23 Sep
@ Dimona
5–1
W
18 Sep
vs Hapoel Azor
3–0
W
9 Sep
@ Hapoel Sderot
2–1
W
3 Sep
vs Hapoel Mahane Yehuda
1–1
D
20 Feb
vs Beitar Yavne
1–0
W
13 Feb
@ Hapoel Marmorek
1–1
D
2.2Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Hapoel Herzliya – last 6
WDWWLD
23 Sep
vs Tzeirey Tira
1–0
W
18 Sep
@ Maccabi Yavne
0–0
D
9 Sep
vs Nordia Jerusalem
3–1
W
3 Sep
@ Maccabi Ashdod
2–1
W
27 Feb
@ Beitar Yavne
0–1
L
20 Feb
vs Hapoel Marmorek
1–1
D
1.2Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Maccabi Kiryat Malachi and Hapoel Herzliya.
What is the prediction for Maccabi Kiryat Malachi vs Hapoel Herzliya?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 53% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.91.
Who will win Maccabi Kiryat Malachi vs Hapoel Herzliya?
On our numbers Maccabi Kiryat Malachi have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Hapoel Herzliya 36%.
How many goals will there be in Maccabi Kiryat Malachi vs Hapoel Herzliya?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Maccabi Kiryat Malachi vs Hapoel Herzliya?
Our predicted score is Maccabi Kiryat Malachi 1–1 Hapoel Herzliya, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Maccabi Kiryat Malachi vs Hapoel Herzliya?
Maccabi Kiryat Malachi vs Hapoel Herzliya (Liga Alef) kicks off on Wednesday 30 September 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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Maccabi K. Ata Bialik0
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Tzeirey Tamra3
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