Hapoel Nazareth Illit v Tzeirey Tamra Prediction & Expected Goals (30 Sep) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultHapoel Nazareth Illit to win ✗70% · @1.29

Double chanceHapoel Nazareth Illit or draw ✗92% · @1.03

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @2.00

GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓72% · fair 1.40

Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.13

Hapoel Nazareth Illit vs Tzeirey Tamra: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Wednesday 30 September the Liga Alef brings Hapoel Nazareth Illit against Tzeirey Tamra at Green Stadium. Kick-off: 17:55 WAT.

Current form

Hapoel Nazareth Illit, last 5: WWDDL Their latest outing: 3–2 win over Hapoel Migdal HaEmek, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.

Tzeirey Tamra, last 5: WLLLL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Hapoel Beit Shean, at home. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 2.3 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Hapoel Nazareth Illit, collecting 1.5 points per game to 1.0 for Tzeirey Tamra.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Hapoel Nazareth Illit 2.7 xG, Tzeirey Tamra 1.0 xG – a total near 3.7. That is an open game on paper: 72% for three or more goals, 58% for GG.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Hapoel Nazareth Illit 70%, draw 22%, Tzeirey Tamra 8%.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 2.00.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.00 – the bookmaker implies 50%, our ratings say 58%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Hapoel Nazareth Illit to win (70%, odds 1.29). Most likely score in line with that pick: Hapoel Nazareth Illit 2–0 Tzeirey Tamra. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Hapoel Nazareth Illit70%fair 1.42 · @1.29

Draw22%fair 4.62 · @4.75

Tzeirey Tamra8%fair 12.33 · @7.50

3.71Expected goals

2.71Hapoel Nazareth Illit xG

1.00Tzeirey Tamra xG

58%Both score

72%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–09%

2–19%

3–08%

3–18%

1–07%

1–17%

From our goals model: Hapoel Nazareth Illit 2.7 – 1.0 Tzeirey Tamra expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Hapoel Nazareth Illit to win ✗	70%	1.42	1.29
Double chance	Hapoel Nazareth Illit or draw ✗	92%	1.09	1.03
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✓	58%	1.71	2.00 ▲
Draw no bet	Hapoel Nazareth Illit (draw no bet) ✗	90%	1.12	–
Asian handicap	Hapoel Nazareth Illit -1 (Asian handicap) ✗	67%	1.50	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	88%	1.13	–
Over/under 2.5 goals	Over 2.5 goals ✓	72%	1.40	–
Over/under 3.5 goals	Over 3.5 goals ✓	51%	1.97	–
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✗	69%	1.46	–
First team to score	Hapoel Nazareth Illit to score first	71%	1.40	–
Half-time result	Hapoel Nazareth Illit ahead at half-time ✗	55%	1.81	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Hapoel Nazareth Illit / FT Hapoel Nazareth Illit ✗	50%	1.98	–
Correct score	Correct score 2–1 ✗	9%	11.13	–

Hapoel Nazareth Illit – last 6

WWDDLD

24 Sep	@ Hapoel Migdal HaEmek	3–2	W
9 Sep	vs Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel	1–0	W
5 Sep	@ Hapoel Umm al-Fahm	2–2	D
25 May	vs Hapoel Acre	2–2	D
19 May	vs Ironi Modi'in	0–2	L
11 May	@ Kafr Qasim	1–1	D

1.5Scored / game

1.5Conceded / game

67%Both scored

50%Over 2.5

Tzeirey Tamra – last 6

WLLLLW

23 Sep	vs Hapoel Beit Shean	1–0	W
18 Sep	vs Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel	1–4	L
9 Sep	vs Hapoel Umm al-Fahm	1–2	L
4 Sep	@ Ironi Nesher	1–6	L
27 Feb	vs Hapoel Migdal HaEmek	0–2	L
22 Feb	@ Hapoel Ironi Arraba	3–0	W

1.2Scored / game

2.3Conceded / game

50%Both scored

67%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Maccabi Ahi Nazareth	21	15	3	3	+27	48
2	Tira	22	13	3	6	+19	42
3	Maccabi K. Ata Bialik	22	10	8	4	+14	38
4	Maccabi Neve Sha'anan	22	10	6	6	+5	36
5	Hapoel Ironi Karmiel	22	9	6	7	+7	33
6	Hapoel Bnei Musmus	21	9	6	6	0	33
7	Hapoel Beit Shean	22	8	8	6	+1	32
8	Hapoel Migdal HaEmek	22	8	7	7	+6	31
9	Ironi Baka El Garbiya	22	9	4	9	+3	31
10	Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm	22	8	6	8	+4	30
11	Ironi Nesher	22	8	5	9	-9	29
12	Tzeirey Tamra	22	7	3	12	-15	24
13	Hapoel Ironi Arraba	22	5	6	11	-9	21
14	Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed	21	4	5	12	-20	17
15	Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel	21	3	3	15	-26	12
16	Hapoel Umm al-Fahm	22	6	5	11	-7	11

Team

Pts

Maccabi Ahi Nazareth

+27

Tira

+19

Maccabi K. Ata Bialik

+14

Maccabi Neve Sha'anan

Ironi Baka El Garbiya

-9

-15

-9

Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed

-20

Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel

-26

Hapoel Umm al-Fahm

-7

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Hapoel Nazareth Illit vs Tzeirey Tamra?

Our pick is Hapoel Nazareth Illit to win with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.29.

Who will win Hapoel Nazareth Illit vs Tzeirey Tamra?

On our numbers Hapoel Nazareth Illit have a 70% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Tzeirey Tamra 8%.

How many goals will there be in Hapoel Nazareth Illit vs Tzeirey Tamra?

We expect about 3.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 72% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Hapoel Nazareth Illit vs Tzeirey Tamra?

Our predicted score is Hapoel Nazareth Illit 2–0 Tzeirey Tamra, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.7 goals in total.

When is Hapoel Nazareth Illit vs Tzeirey Tamra?

Hapoel Nazareth Illit vs Tzeirey Tamra (Liga Alef) kicks off on Wednesday 30 September 2026 at 17:55 (West Africa Time) at Green Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Hapoel Nazareth Illit v Tzeirey Tamra: numbers & prediction