Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel vs Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel welcome Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm for a Liga Alef fixture on Wednesday 30 September (12:30 WAT). In the table, Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel are 15th, in the drop zone, on 12 points after 21 matches; Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm are 10th (lower half) with 30. There are 18 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel, last 5: LWLLD Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Ironi Baka El Garbiya, away. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.4 conceded per game.
Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm, last 5: LDDLW Their latest outing: 1–5 defeat to Ironi Nesher, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm, collecting 1.3 points per game to 0.8 for Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel 1.5 xG, Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm 1.5 xG – a total near 3.0. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 58% and GG at 64%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel 39%, draw 21%, Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm 40%.
GG/NG: GG (64%) at 1.67.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (64%, odds 1.67 – longer than our fair 1.57, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel 1–1 Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel39%fair 2.56 · @2.30
Draw21%fair 4.71 · @3.40
Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm40%fair 2.52 · @2.60
3.00Expected goals
1.49Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel xG
1.51Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm xG
64%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
1–28%
2–18%
0–18%
1–07%
2–26%
From our goals model: Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel 1.5 – 1.5 Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm to win
40%
2.52
2.60
Double chance
Either team to win
79%
1.27
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
64%
1.57
1.67 ▲
Draw no bet
Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm (draw no bet)
50%
1.98
–
Asian handicap
Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel +0.5 (Asian handicap)
62%
1.62
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
80%
1.25
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
58%
1.73
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
65%
1.55
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals
82%
1.23
–
First team to score
Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm to score first
48%
2.09
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time
40%
2.52
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm / FT Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm
22%
4.45
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2
8%
11.84
–
Recent results
Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel – last 5
LWLLD
23 Sep
@ Ironi Baka El Garbiya
1–3
L
18 Sep
@ Tzeirey Tamra
4–1
W
9 Sep
@ Hapoel Nazareth Illit
0–1
L
19 Feb
vs Hapoel Beit Shean
0–1
L
13 Feb
@ Hapoel Ironi Karmiel
1–1
D
1.2Scored / game
1.4Conceded / game
60%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm – last 6
LDDLWW
18 Sep
@ Ironi Nesher
1–5
L
10 Sep
vs Maccabi Neve Sha'anan
1–1
D
6 Sep
@ Hapoel Bnei Musmus
0–0
D
27 Feb
vs Maccabi Neve Sha'anan
1–2
L
20 Feb
@ Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed
2–1
W
13 Feb
vs Ironi Baka El Garbiya
1–0
W
1.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel and Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm.
What is the prediction for Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel vs Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.
Who will win Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel vs Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm?
On our numbers Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm 40%.
How many goals will there be in Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel vs Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel vs Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm?
Our predicted score is Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel 1–1 Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel vs Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm?
Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel vs Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm (Liga Alef) kicks off on Wednesday 30 September 2026 at 12:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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