Hapoel Bnei Musmus 19%Draw 24%Maccabi K. Ata Bialik 57%Expected goals 1.26 – 2.24
81%
Betarazi pick
Maccabi K. Ata Bialik or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.23 · bookmaker 1.20 · Lost ✗
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.73 – our chance 64% vs 58% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultMaccabi K. Ata Bialik to win ✗57% · @1.75
Double chanceMaccabi K. Ata Bialik or draw ✗81% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗64% · @1.73
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗68% · fair 1.47
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.48
Hapoel Bnei Musmus vs Maccabi K. Ata Bialik: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
15:30 WAT, Wednesday 30 September: Hapoel Bnei Musmus v Maccabi K. Ata Bialik in the Liga Alef. In the table, Hapoel Bnei Musmus are 6th, upper half, on 33 points after 21 matches; Maccabi K. Ata Bialik are 3rd (among the top four) with 38.
Current form
Hapoel Bnei Musmus, last 4: DLLD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Tira, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.
Maccabi K. Ata Bialik, last 4: WWWD Their latest outing: 5–3 win over Hapoel Ihud Bnei Jatt, at home. 3.5 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Momentum favours Maccabi K. Ata Bialik, collecting 2.5 points per game to 0.5 for Hapoel Bnei Musmus.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Hapoel Bnei Musmus 1.3 xG, Maccabi K. Ata Bialik 2.2 xG – a total near 3.5. That is an open game on paper: 68% for three or more goals, 64% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Hapoel Bnei Musmus 19%, draw 24%, Maccabi K. Ata Bialik 57%.
Lower-risk option: Maccabi K. Ata Bialik or draw (81%) at 1.20.
GG/NG: GG (64%) at 1.73.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.73 – the bookmaker implies 58%, our ratings say 64%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Maccabi K. Ata Bialik or draw (81%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Hapoel Bnei Musmus 1–2 Maccabi K. Ata Bialik. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Hapoel Bnei Musmus19%fair 5.39 · @3.70
Draw24%fair 4.10 · @3.60
Maccabi K. Ata Bialik57%fair 1.75 · @1.75
3.50Expected goals
1.26Hapoel Bnei Musmus xG
2.24Maccabi K. Ata Bialik xG
64%Both score
68%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–210%
1–19%
0–28%
1–37%
0–17%
2–26%
From our goals model: Hapoel Bnei Musmus 1.3 – 2.2 Maccabi K. Ata Bialik expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Maccabi K. Ata Bialik to win✗
57%
1.75
1.75
Double chance
Maccabi K. Ata Bialik or draw✗
81%
1.23
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
64%
1.56
1.73 ▲
Draw no bet
Maccabi K. Ata Bialik (draw no bet)✗
75%
1.33
–
Asian handicap
Hapoel Bnei Musmus +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
63%
1.60
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
86%
1.16
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
68%
1.47
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
54%
1.86
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
73%
1.38
–
First team to score
Maccabi K. Ata Bialik to score first✗
62%
1.61
–
Half-time result
Maccabi K. Ata Bialik ahead at half-time✗
45%
2.23
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Maccabi K. Ata Bialik / FT Maccabi K. Ata Bialik✗
38%
2.62
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.48
–
Recent results
Hapoel Bnei Musmus – last 4
DLLD
23 Sep
@ Tira
1–1
D
18 Sep
vs Beitar Nahariya
1–2
L
10 Sep
@ Hapoel Ironi Karmiel
0–3
L
6 Sep
vs Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm
0–0
D
0.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Maccabi K. Ata Bialik – last 4
WWWD
24 Sep
vs Hapoel Ihud Bnei Jatt
5–3
W
19 Sep
@ Hapoel Ironi Arraba
4–0
W
9 Sep
vs Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed
3–1
W
5 Sep
vs Hapoel Migdal HaEmek
2–2
D
3.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
75%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Hapoel Bnei Musmus and Maccabi K. Ata Bialik.
What is the prediction for Hapoel Bnei Musmus vs Maccabi K. Ata Bialik?
Our pick is Maccabi K. Ata Bialik or draw with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Hapoel Bnei Musmus vs Maccabi K. Ata Bialik?
On our numbers Hapoel Bnei Musmus have a 19% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Maccabi K. Ata Bialik 57%.
How many goals will there be in Hapoel Bnei Musmus vs Maccabi K. Ata Bialik?
We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 68% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Hapoel Bnei Musmus vs Maccabi K. Ata Bialik?
Our predicted score is Hapoel Bnei Musmus 1–2 Maccabi K. Ata Bialik, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.
When is Hapoel Bnei Musmus vs Maccabi K. Ata Bialik?
Hapoel Bnei Musmus vs Maccabi K. Ata Bialik (Liga Alef) kicks off on Wednesday 30 September 2026 at 15:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Shimshon Tel Aviv1
Hapoel Ramat HaSharon2
Maccabi Kiryat Malachi0
Hapoel Herzliya0
Nordia Jerusalem0
Hapoel Hadera4
Hapoel Nazareth Illit2
Hapoel Mahane Yehuda2
Dimona3