Good pick · fair odds 1.61 · bookmaker 1.62 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.62Odds
1
Value bet: Gozzano to win @ 3.30 – our chance 33% vs 30% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultSanremese to win ✗44% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.30
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗59% · fair 1.69
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓85% · fair 1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗15% · fair 6.86
Gozzano vs Sanremese: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Gozzano welcome Sanremese for a Serie D Girone A fixture on Sunday 27 September (14:00 WAT). In the table, Gozzano are 11th, lower half, on 14 points after 11 matches; Sanremese are 7th (upper half) with 17. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Gozzano, last 5: WDLDL Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Fezzanese, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Sanremese, last 5: DLWDW Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Saluzzo, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Sanremese, collecting 1.5 points per game to 1.0 for Gozzano.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Gozzano 0.9 xG, Sanremese 1.1 xG – a total near 2.1. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 62% and a clean sheet for one side more likely than not.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Gozzano 33%, draw 23%, Sanremese 44%.
Price worth noting: Gozzano to win @3.30 – the bookmaker implies 30%, our ratings say 33%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (62%, odds 1.62). Most likely score in line with that pick: Gozzano 0–1 Sanremese. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Gozzano33%fair 3.02 · @3.30
Draw23%fair 4.44 · @3.20
Sanremese44%fair 2.25 · @2.00
2.05Expected goals
0.92Gozzano xG
1.14Sanremese xG
41%Both score
38%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–115%
1–113%
0–013%
1–012%
0–28%
1–28%
From our goals model: Gozzano 0.9 – 1.1 Sanremese expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sanremese to win✗
44%
2.25
2.00
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.29
1.30
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
59%
1.69
–
Draw no bet
Sanremese (draw no bet)✗
57%
1.75
–
Asian handicap
Gozzano +1 (Asian handicap)✓
78%
1.29
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
61%
1.64
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
62%
1.61
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
85%
1.18
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
94%
1.06
–
First team to score
Sanremese to score first
48%
2.07
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
49%
2.04
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Sanremese / FT Sanremese✗
23%
4.36
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
15%
6.86
–
Recent results
Gozzano – last 6
WDLDLD
21 Sep
@ Fezzanese
2–0
W
16 Sep
vs Borgosesia
0–0
D
12 Sep
@ Asti
0–2
L
6 Sep
vs Lascaris
0–0
D
12 Aug
@ Pro Patria
1–3
L
10 May
@ Derthona
1–1
D
0.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Sanremese – last 6
DLWDWD
20 Sep
vs Saluzzo
2–2
D
16 Sep
@ Chisola
0–1
L
12 Sep
vs Celle Varazze
1–0
W
6 Sep
@ Ligorna
2–2
D
3 May
@ Sestri Levante
2–0
W
19 Apr
@ Imperia
2–2
D
1.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Gozzano and Sanremese.
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.
Who will win Gozzano vs Sanremese?
On our numbers Gozzano have a 33% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Sanremese 44%.
How many goals will there be in Gozzano vs Sanremese?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 38% likely and both teams score 41% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Gozzano vs Sanremese?
Our predicted score is Gozzano 0–1 Sanremese, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Gozzano vs Sanremese?
Gozzano vs Sanremese (Serie D Girone A) kicks off on Sunday 27 September 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
