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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Valenzana v Borgosesia: numbers & prediction

1–2
FT
Valenzana 41%Draw 23%Borgosesia 36% Expected goals 1.22 – 1.13
55%
Betarazi pick

Under 2.5 goals

Fair pick · fair odds 1.81 · bookmaker 1.80 · Lost ✗

4/10Rating
1.80Odds

Picks by market

ResultValenzana to win ✗41% · @2.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.28
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗53% · fair 1.88
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.27
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗12% · fair 8.60

Valenzana vs Borgosesia: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

14:00 WAT, Sunday 27 September: Valenzana v Borgosesia in the Serie D Girone A. In the table, Valenzana are 17th, in the drop zone, on 6 points after 11 matches; Borgosesia are 13th (lower half) with 13.

Current form

Valenzana, last 5: DLLLL Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Asti, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 2.3 conceded per game.

Borgosesia, last 3: DDL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Bra, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.3 goals a game.

Momentum favours Borgosesia, collecting 0.7 points per game to 0.2 for Valenzana.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Valenzana 1.2 xG, Borgosesia 1.1 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 45%, GG 47%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Valenzana 41%, draw 23%, Borgosesia 36%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (55%, odds 1.80). Most likely score in line with that pick: Valenzana 1–1 Borgosesia. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Valenzana41%fair 2.44 · @2.25
Draw23%fair 4.44 · @3.20
Borgosesia36%fair 2.75 · @2.80
2.35Expected goals
1.22Valenzana xG
1.13Borgosesia xG
47%Both score
45%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
1–012%
0–111%
0–09%
2–18%
1–27%

From our goals model: Valenzana 1.2 – 1.1 Borgosesia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultValenzana to win ✗41%2.442.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77%1.291.28
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✗53%1.88–
Draw no betValenzana (draw no bet) ✗53%1.89–
Asian handicapBorgosesia +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓62%1.62–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓68%1.47–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗55%1.811.80
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79%1.27–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓91%1.10–
First team to scoreValenzana to score first ✗47%2.12–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗46%2.19–
Half-time / full-timeHT Valenzana / FT Valenzana ✗22%4.57–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗12%8.60–

Recent results

Valenzana – last 6

DLLLLL
20 Sep@ Asti2–2D
16 Sepvs Lascaris0–1L
12 Sep@ Millesimo1–2L
6 Sepvs Alessandria1–2L
3 Mayvs Chisola2–3L
26 Apr@ Cairese0–4L
1.0Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Borgosesia – last 3

DDL
20 Sepvs Bra1–1D
16 Sep@ Gozzano0–0D
12 Sepvs Saluzzo0–2L
0.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
0%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Valenzana and Borgosesia.

Valenzana vs Borgosesia head-to-head page →

Serie D Girone A table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Alessandria111001+1230
2Chisola11632+1221
3Biellese11632+1021
4Derthona11542+119
5Ligorna11533+518
6Millesimo11524+617
7Sanremese11452+417
8Saluzzo11362+115
9Imperia11434+115
10Asti11425-214
11Gozzano11425-414
12Sestri Levante11344-213
13Borgosesia11344-213
14Lascaris11335-512
15Fezzanese11326-711
16Bra11245-710
17Valenzana11137-86
18Celle Varazze11119-154

More Serie D Girone A predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Valenzana vs Borgosesia?

Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 55% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.80.

Who will win Valenzana vs Borgosesia?

On our numbers Valenzana have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Borgosesia 36%.

How many goals will there be in Valenzana vs Borgosesia?

We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Valenzana vs Borgosesia?

Our predicted score is Valenzana 1–1 Borgosesia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.

When is Valenzana vs Borgosesia?

Valenzana vs Borgosesia (Serie D Girone A) kicks off on Sunday 27 September 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.