Value bet: Biellese to win @ 2.45 – our chance 45% vs 41% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultBiellese to win ✓45% · @2.45
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.28
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗55% · fair 1.82
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗12% · fair 8.18
Sestri Levante vs Biellese: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 27 September the Serie D Girone A brings Sestri Levante against Biellese at Giuseppe Sivori. Kick-off: 14:00 WAT. In the table, Sestri Levante are 12th, lower half, on 13 points after 11 matches; Biellese are 3rd (among the top four) with 21.
Current form
Sestri Levante, last 5: DLLWW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Lascaris, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Biellese, last 5: DWWDL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Chisola, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Biellese, collecting 1.8 points per game to 1.2 for Sestri Levante.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Sestri Levante 1.1 xG, Biellese 1.3 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 43%, GG 45%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Sestri Levante 32%, draw 23%, Biellese 45%.
Price worth noting: Biellese to win @2.45 – the bookmaker implies 41%, our ratings say 45%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (57%, odds 1.65). Most likely score in line with that pick: Sestri Levante 1–1 Biellese. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Sestri Levante32%fair 3.13 · @2.62
Draw23%fair 4.36 · @3.10
Biellese45%fair 2.22 · @2.45
2.39Expected goals
1.06Sestri Levante xG
1.33Biellese xG
45%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–112%
1–010%
0–09%
1–29%
0–28%
From our goals model: Sestri Levante 1.1 – 1.3 Biellese expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Biellese to win✓
45%
2.22
2.45 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.30
1.28
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
55%
1.82
–
Draw no bet
Biellese (draw no bet)✓
59%
1.71
–
Asian handicap
Sestri Levante +1 (Asian handicap)
74%
1.35
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
69%
1.45
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
57%
1.75
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
91%
1.10
–
First team to score
Biellese to score first
51%
1.98
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
45%
2.21
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Biellese / FT Biellese✓
25%
4.01
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
12%
8.18
–
Recent results
Sestri Levante – last 6
DLLWWL
20 Sep
@ Lascaris
1–1
D
16 Sep
vs Fezzanese
0–3
L
13 Sep
@ Alessandria
1–2
L
6 Sep
vs Asti
2–0
W
19 Aug
@ Sampdoria U20
4–1
W
3 May
vs Sanremese
0–2
L
1.3Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Biellese – last 6
DWWDLW
20 Sep
vs Chisola
1–1
D
16 Sep
@ Bra
1–0
W
13 Sep
vs Ligorna
3–1
W
6 Sep
@ Saluzzo
1–1
D
3 May
@ Vado
2–3
L
26 Apr
vs Gozzano
2–0
W
1.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sestri Levante and Biellese.
What is the prediction for Sestri Levante vs Biellese?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 57% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.65.
Who will win Sestri Levante vs Biellese?
On our numbers Sestri Levante have a 32% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Biellese 45%.
How many goals will there be in Sestri Levante vs Biellese?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 45% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sestri Levante vs Biellese?
Our predicted score is Sestri Levante 1–1 Biellese, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Sestri Levante vs Biellese?
Sestri Levante vs Biellese (Serie D Girone A) kicks off on Sunday 27 September 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Giuseppe Sivori.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
