Good pick · fair odds 1.67 · bookmaker 1.80 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.80Odds
Picks by market
ResultImperia to win ✓60% · @1.80
Double chanceImperia or draw ✓83% · @1.18
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓57% · fair 1.77
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗16% · fair 6.16
Imperia vs Fezzanese: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 27 September the Serie D Girone A brings Imperia against Fezzanese. Kick-off: 14:00 WAT. In the table, Imperia are 9th, upper half, on 15 points after 11 matches; Fezzanese are 15th (lower half) with 11.
Current form
Imperia, last 5: LDWLL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Asti, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Fezzanese, last 4: LWWD Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Gozzano, at home. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Fezzanese, collecting 1.8 points per game to 0.8 for Imperia.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Imperia 1.6 xG, Fezzanese 0.7 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 42%, GG 43%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Imperia 60%, draw 23%, Fezzanese 17%.
Lower-risk option: Imperia or draw (83%) at 1.18.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Imperia to win (60%, odds 1.80 – longer than our fair 1.67, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Imperia 1–0 Fezzanese. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Imperia60%fair 1.67 · @1.80
Draw23%fair 4.35 · @3.40
Fezzanese17%fair 5.87 · @3.90
2.28Expected goals
1.59Imperia xG
0.69Fezzanese xG
43%Both score
42%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–016%
2–013%
1–111%
0–010%
2–19%
0–17%
From our goals model: Imperia 1.6 – 0.7 Fezzanese expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Imperia to win✓
60%
1.67
1.80 ▲
Double chance
Imperia or draw✓
83%
1.21
1.18
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
57%
1.77
–
Draw no bet
Imperia (draw no bet)✓
78%
1.28
–
Asian handicap
Fezzanese +1.5 (Asian handicap)✗
68%
1.47
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
67%
1.50
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
58%
1.72
1.67
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
92%
1.09
–
First team to score
Imperia to score first✓
63%
1.60
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
45%
2.23
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Imperia / FT Imperia✓
36%
2.77
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
16%
6.16
–
Recent results
Imperia – last 6
LDWLLD
16 Sep
vs Asti
1–2
L
13 Sep
@ Derthona
1–1
D
6 Sep
vs Millesimo
1–0
W
9 Aug
@ Pro Patria
1–2
L
3 May
vs Celle Varazze
0–1
L
26 Apr
@ Derthona
0–0
D
0.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Fezzanese – last 4
LWWD
21 Sep
vs Gozzano
0–2
L
16 Sep
@ Sestri Levante
3–0
W
13 Sep
vs Chisola
2–0
W
6 Sep
@ Bra
1–1
D
1.5Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
25%Both scored
25%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Imperia and Fezzanese.
Our pick is Imperia to win with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.80.
Who will win Imperia vs Fezzanese?
On our numbers Imperia have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Fezzanese 17%.
How many goals will there be in Imperia vs Fezzanese?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 43% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Imperia vs Fezzanese?
Our predicted score is Imperia 1–0 Fezzanese, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Imperia vs Fezzanese?
Imperia vs Fezzanese (Serie D Girone A) kicks off on Sunday 27 September 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
