Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓56% · fair 1.79
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–0 ✗9% · fair 10.82
Alessandria vs Fezzanese: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Alessandria welcome Fezzanese to Stadio Giuseppe Moccagatta for a Serie D Girone A fixture on Sunday 11 October (14:00 WAT). In the table, Alessandria are 1st, leading the league, on 30 points after 11 matches; Fezzanese are 15th (lower half) with 11. There are 19 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Alessandria, last 5: LWWWL Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to Biellese, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.0 a game lately.
Fezzanese, last 5: LLLWW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Valenzana, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Alessandria, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.2 for Fezzanese.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Alessandria 2.1 xG, Fezzanese 0.7 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 52%, GG 44%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Alessandria 68%, draw 21%, Fezzanese 11%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Alessandria to win (68%, odds 1.33). Most likely score in line with that pick: Alessandria 2–0 Fezzanese. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Alessandria68%fair 1.46 · @1.33
Draw21%fair 4.74 · @4.00
Fezzanese11%fair 9.49 · @9.00
2.78Expected goals
2.07Alessandria xG
0.70Fezzanese xG
44%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–013%
1–013%
2–19%
3–09%
1–19%
3–17%
From our goals model: Alessandria 2.1 – 0.7 Fezzanese expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Alessandria to win✓
68%
1.46
1.33
Double chance
Alessandria or draw✓
89%
1.12
1.03
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
56%
1.79
–
Draw no bet
Alessandria (draw no bet)✓
87%
1.15
–
Asian handicap
Alessandria -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
69%
1.44
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
77%
1.31
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
52%
1.93
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
70%
1.44
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
85%
1.18
–
First team to score
Alessandria to score first✓
70%
1.43
–
Half-time result
Alessandria ahead at half-time✓
49%
2.02
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Alessandria / FT Alessandria✓
45%
2.21
–
Correct score
Correct score 3–0✗
9%
10.82
–
Recent results
Alessandria – last 6
LWWWLW
7 Oct
@ Biellese
2–3
L
4 Oct
@ Derthona
3–1
W
30 Sep
vs Imperia
2–1
W
27 Sep
vs Asti
2–0
W
16 Sep
@ Millesimo
1–4
L
13 Sep
vs Sestri Levante
2–1
W
2.0Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Fezzanese – last 6
LLLWWD
4 Oct
vs Valenzana
1–2
L
27 Sep
@ Imperia
0–2
L
21 Sep
vs Gozzano
0–2
L
16 Sep
@ Sestri Levante
3–0
W
13 Sep
vs Chisola
2–0
W
6 Sep
@ Bra
1–1
D
1.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Alessandria and Fezzanese.
What is the prediction for Alessandria vs Fezzanese?
Our pick is Alessandria to win with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win Alessandria vs Fezzanese?
On our numbers Alessandria have a 68% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Fezzanese 11%.
How many goals will there be in Alessandria vs Fezzanese?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 44% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Alessandria vs Fezzanese?
Our predicted score is Alessandria 2–0 Fezzanese, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Alessandria vs Fezzanese?
Alessandria vs Fezzanese (Serie D Girone A) kicks off on Sunday 11 October 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Giuseppe Moccagatta.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
