Value bet: Biellese to win @ 2.44 – our chance 44% vs 41% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultBiellese to win ✗44% · @2.44
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · fair 1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · @1.84
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓73% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.48
Imperia vs Biellese: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
14:00 WAT, Sunday 11 October: Imperia v Biellese in the Serie D Girone A. In the table, Imperia are 9th, upper half, on 15 points after 11 matches; Biellese are 3rd (among the top four) with 21.
Current form
Imperia, last 5: DLWLD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Lascaris, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Biellese, last 5: WWWDW Their latest outing: 3–2 win over Alessandria, at home. 2.3 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Momentum favours Biellese, collecting 2.7 points per game to 1.3 for Imperia.
Head to head
When they last met (22 Mar 2026) it ended Imperia 0–1 Biellese.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Imperia 1.2 xG, Biellese 1.4 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 47%, GG 53%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Imperia 33%, draw 23%, Biellese 44%.
GG/NG: GG (53%) at 1.84.
Price worth noting: Biellese to win @2.44 – the bookmaker implies 41%, our ratings say 44%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (73%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Imperia 1–1 Biellese. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Imperia33%fair 3.03 · @2.75
Draw23%fair 4.29 · @3.05
Biellese44%fair 2.29 · @2.44
2.53Expected goals
1.15Imperia xG
1.38Biellese xG
53%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–111%
1–09%
1–29%
0–08%
0–28%
From our goals model: Imperia 1.2 – 1.4 Biellese expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Imperia vs Biellese?
On our numbers Imperia have a 33% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Biellese 44%.
How many goals will there be in Imperia vs Biellese?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Imperia vs Biellese?
Our predicted score is Imperia 1–1 Biellese, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Imperia vs Biellese?
Imperia vs Biellese (Serie D Girone A) kicks off on Sunday 11 October 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
