Value bet: Gozzano to win @ 2.70 – our chance 40% vs 37% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultGozzano to win ✗40% · @2.70
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.25
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓50% · fair 1.98
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–0 ✗3% · fair 34.27
Gozzano vs Ligorna: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 11 October the Serie D Girone A brings Gozzano against Ligorna. Kick-off: 14:00 WAT. In the table, Gozzano are 11th, lower half, on 14 points after 11 matches; Ligorna are 5th (upper half) with 18.
Current form
Gozzano, last 5: LWWDL Their latest outing: 1–4 defeat to Biellese, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Ligorna, last 5: WWWLL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Saluzzo, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Head to head
When they last met (1 Mar 2026) it ended Ligorna 0–1 Gozzano.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Gozzano 1.4 xG, Ligorna 1.3 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 50%, GG 50%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Gozzano 40%, draw 22%, Ligorna 38%.
Price worth noting: Gozzano to win @2.70 – the bookmaker implies 37%, our ratings say 40%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (50%, odds 1.90). Most likely score in line with that pick: Gozzano 2–1 Ligorna. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Gozzano40%fair 2.48 · @2.70
Draw22%fair 4.59 · @3.25
Ligorna38%fair 2.64 · @2.30
2.71Expected goals
1.38Gozzano xG
1.33Ligorna xG
50%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–09%
0–19%
2–18%
1–28%
0–07%
From our goals model: Gozzano 1.4 – 1.3 Ligorna expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 50% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.90.
Who will win Gozzano vs Ligorna?
On our numbers Gozzano have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Ligorna 38%.
How many goals will there be in Gozzano vs Ligorna?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Gozzano vs Ligorna?
Our predicted score is Gozzano 2–1 Ligorna, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Gozzano vs Ligorna?
Gozzano vs Ligorna (Serie D Girone A) kicks off on Sunday 11 October 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
