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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Sestri Levante v Celle Varazze: numbers & prediction

Serie D Girone A · Italy · Giuseppe Sivori
1–1
FT
Sestri Levante 63%Draw 24%Celle Varazze 13% Expected goals 1.77 – 0.66
63%
Betarazi pick

Sestri Levante to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.58 · bookmaker 1.60 · Lost ✗

6/10Rating
1.60Odds

Picks by market

ResultSestri Levante to win ✗63% · @1.60
Double chanceSestri Levante or draw ✓87% · @1.11
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗57% · fair 1.75
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.29
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗16% · fair 6.39

Sestri Levante vs Celle Varazze: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Sunday 11 October the Serie D Girone A brings Sestri Levante against Celle Varazze at Giuseppe Sivori. Kick-off: 14:00 WAT. In the table, Sestri Levante are 12th, lower half, on 13 points after 11 matches; Celle Varazze are 18th (in the drop zone) with 4.

Current form

Sestri Levante, last 5: WWLDL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Pistoiese, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Celle Varazze, last 5: LLLLL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Bra, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.2 goals a game.

Momentum favours Sestri Levante, collecting 1.2 points per game to 0.0 for Celle Varazze.

Head to head

When they last met (26 Apr 2026) it ended Celle Varazze 1–0 Sestri Levante.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Sestri Levante 1.8 xG, Celle Varazze 0.7 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 45%, GG 43%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Sestri Levante 63%, draw 24%, Celle Varazze 13%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Sestri Levante to win (63%, odds 1.60). Most likely score in line with that pick: Sestri Levante 1–0 Celle Varazze. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Sestri Levante63%fair 1.58 · @1.60
Draw24%fair 4.13 · @3.50
Celle Varazze13%fair 8.00 · @5.00
2.42Expected goals
1.77Sestri Levante xG
0.66Celle Varazze xG
43%Both score
45%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–016%
2–014%
1–110%
2–19%
0–09%
3–08%

From our goals model: Sestri Levante 1.8 – 0.7 Celle Varazze expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultSestri Levante to win ✗63%1.581.60
Double chanceSestri Levante or draw ✓87%1.141.11
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✗57%1.75–
Draw no betSestri Levante (draw no bet)83%1.20–
Asian handicapSestri Levante -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗64%1.56–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓70%1.44–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓55%1.811.75
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77%1.29–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓90%1.11–
First team to scoreSestri Levante to score first ✗66%1.51–
Half-time resultSestri Levante ahead at half-time ✗45%2.24–
Half-time / full-timeHT Sestri Levante / FT Sestri Levante ✗40%2.48–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗16%6.39–

Recent results

Sestri Levante – last 6

WWLDLL
7 Octvs Pistoiese1–0W
4 Oct@ Borgosesia1–0W
27 Sepvs Biellese1–2L
20 Sep@ Lascaris1–1D
16 Sepvs Fezzanese0–3L
13 Sep@ Alessandria1–2L
0.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Celle Varazze – last 6

LLLLLL
7 Oct@ Bra0–2L
4 Octvs Chisola0–4L
20 Sepvs Ligorna0–2L
16 Sep@ Saluzzo1–3L
12 Sep@ Sanremese0–1L
6 Sepvs Derthona0–1L
0.2Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

26 Apr 2026Celle Varazze v Sestri Levante1–0
Sestri Levante vs Celle Varazze head-to-head page →

Serie D Girone A table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Alessandria111001+1230
2Chisola11632+1221
3Biellese11632+1021
4Derthona11542+119
5Ligorna11533+518
6Millesimo11524+617
7Sanremese11452+417
8Saluzzo11362+115
9Imperia11434+115
10Asti11425-214
11Gozzano11425-414
12Sestri Levante11344-213
13Borgosesia11344-213
14Lascaris11335-512
15Fezzanese11326-711
16Bra11245-710
17Valenzana11137-86
18Celle Varazze11119-154

More Serie D Girone A predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Sestri Levante vs Celle Varazze?

Our pick is Sestri Levante to win with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.60.

Who will win Sestri Levante vs Celle Varazze?

On our numbers Sestri Levante have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Celle Varazze 13%.

How many goals will there be in Sestri Levante vs Celle Varazze?

We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 43% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Sestri Levante vs Celle Varazze?

Our predicted score is Sestri Levante 1–0 Celle Varazze, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.

When is Sestri Levante vs Celle Varazze?

Sestri Levante vs Celle Varazze (Serie D Girone A) kicks off on Sunday 11 October 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Giuseppe Sivori.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.