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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Chisola v Derthona: numbers & prediction

Chisola

WDLDW
4–2
FT
Chisola 44%Draw 23%Derthona 34% Expected goals 1.35 – 1.14
54%
Betarazi pick

Under 2.5 goals

Fair pick · fair odds 1.87 · bookmaker 1.80 · Lost ✗

4/10Rating
1.80Odds

Picks by market

ResultChisola to win ✓44% · @2.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.28
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗52% · fair 1.91
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗11% · fair 8.96

Chisola vs Derthona: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Chisola welcome Derthona for a Serie D Girone A fixture on Sunday 11 October (14:00 WAT). In the table, Chisola are 2nd, among the top four, on 21 points after 11 matches; Derthona are 4th (among the top four) with 19. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Chisola, last 5: WDLDW Their latest outing: 4–0 win over Celle Varazze, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.

Derthona, last 5: LDWWD Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Alessandria, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Derthona, collecting 1.8 points per game to 1.3 for Chisola.

Head to head

When they last met (15 Feb 2026) it ended Derthona 0–1 Chisola.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Chisola 1.4 xG, Derthona 1.1 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 48%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Chisola 44%, draw 23%, Derthona 34%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (54%, odds 1.80). Most likely score in line with that pick: Chisola 1–1 Derthona. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Chisola44%fair 2.29 · @2.20
Draw23%fair 4.44 · @3.20
Derthona34%fair 2.96 · @2.90
2.49Expected goals
1.35Chisola xG
1.14Derthona xG
48%Both score
46%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
1–011%
0–19%
2–19%
0–08%
2–08%

From our goals model: Chisola 1.4 – 1.1 Derthona expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultChisola to win ✓44%2.292.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77%1.291.28
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✗52%1.91–
Draw no betChisola (draw no bet) ✓56%1.77–
Asian handicapDerthona +1 (Asian handicap) ✗75%1.33–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓71%1.41–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗54%1.871.80
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗76%1.32–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗89%1.12–
First team to scoreChisola to score first50%2.01–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗44%2.27–
Half-time / full-timeHT Chisola / FT Chisola ✓24%4.14–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗11%8.96–

Recent results

Chisola – last 6

WDLDWL
4 Oct@ Celle Varazze4–0W
30 Sepvs Borgosesia2–2D
27 Sepvs Ligorna1–2L
20 Sep@ Biellese1–1D
16 Sepvs Sanremese1–0W
13 Sep@ Fezzanese0–2L
1.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Derthona – last 6

LDWWDW
4 Octvs Alessandria1–3L
27 Sep@ Saluzzo0–0D
20 Sepvs Millesimo1–0W
16 Sep@ Ligorna3–2W
13 Sepvs Imperia1–1D
6 Sep@ Celle Varazze1–0W
1.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

15 Feb 2026Derthona v Chisola0–1
Chisola vs Derthona head-to-head page →

Serie D Girone A table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Alessandria111001+1230
2Chisola11632+1221
3Biellese11632+1021
4Derthona11542+119
5Ligorna11533+518
6Millesimo11524+617
7Sanremese11452+417
8Saluzzo11362+115
9Imperia11434+115
10Asti11425-214
11Gozzano11425-414
12Sestri Levante11344-213
13Borgosesia11344-213
14Lascaris11335-512
15Fezzanese11326-711
16Bra11245-710
17Valenzana11137-86
18Celle Varazze11119-154

More Serie D Girone A predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Chisola vs Derthona?

Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 54% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.80.

Who will win Chisola vs Derthona?

On our numbers Chisola have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Derthona 34%.

How many goals will there be in Chisola vs Derthona?

We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Chisola vs Derthona?

Our predicted score is Chisola 1–1 Derthona, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.

When is Chisola vs Derthona?

Chisola vs Derthona (Serie D Girone A) kicks off on Sunday 11 October 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.