Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓52% · fair 1.91
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗10% · fair 9.56
Castellanzese vs Oltrepò: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
14:00 WAT, Wednesday 16 September: Castellanzese v Oltrepò in the Serie D Girone D. In the table, Castellanzese are 4th, among the top four, on 19 points after 11 matches; Oltrepò are 18th (in the drop zone) with 5. There are 14 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Castellanzese, last 5: LWLDL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Lentigione, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Oltrepò, last 5: LWWLW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Pro Patria, away. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Oltrepò, collecting 2.0 points per game to 0.8 for Castellanzese.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Castellanzese 1.3 xG, Oltrepò 1.2 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 45%, GG 48%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Castellanzese 41%, draw 23%, Oltrepò 36%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (55%, odds 1.65). Most likely score in line with that pick: Castellanzese 1–1 Oltrepò. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Castellanzese41%fair 2.45 · @2.35
Draw23%fair 4.36 · @3.10
Oltrepò36%fair 2.76 · @2.75
2.53Expected goals
1.32Castellanzese xG
1.22Oltrepò xG
48%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–010%
0–110%
2–18%
0–08%
1–28%
From our goals model: Castellanzese 1.3 – 1.2 Oltrepò expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Castellanzese to win✗
41%
2.45
2.35
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.30
–
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
52%
1.91
–
Draw no bet
Castellanzese (draw no bet)✗
53%
1.88
–
Asian handicap
Oltrepò +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
61%
1.64
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
72%
1.39
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
55%
1.81
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
89%
1.13
–
First team to score
Castellanzese to score first✗
48%
2.09
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
44%
2.28
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Castellanzese / FT Castellanzese✗
23%
4.44
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
10%
9.56
–
Recent results
Castellanzese – last 6
LWLDLD
13 Sep
@ Lentigione
0–1
L
6 Sep
vs Pontedera
3–1
W
10 May
vs Varesina
1–2
L
3 May
@ Virtus Ciserano Bergamo
1–1
D
26 Apr
vs Milan II
1–3
L
19 Apr
@ Chievo
2–2
D
1.3Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Oltrepò – last 6
LWWLWW
6 Sep
@ Pro Patria
1–2
L
3 May
vs Brusaporto
2–1
W
26 Apr
@ Villa Valle
3–1
W
19 Apr
vs Sondrio
0–3
L
2 Apr
vs Real Calepina
1–0
W
29 Mar
vs Breno
2–0
W
1.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Castellanzese and Oltrepò.
What is the prediction for Castellanzese vs Oltrepò?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 55% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.65.
Who will win Castellanzese vs Oltrepò?
On our numbers Castellanzese have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Oltrepò 36%.
How many goals will there be in Castellanzese vs Oltrepò?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Castellanzese vs Oltrepò?
Our predicted score is Castellanzese 1–1 Oltrepò, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Castellanzese vs Oltrepò?
Castellanzese vs Oltrepò (Serie D Girone D) kicks off on Wednesday 16 September 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
