Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓55% · fair 1.82
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.26
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–0 ✗10% · fair 10.24
Pro Patria vs Crema: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Crema travel to face Pro Patria on Wednesday 16 September in the Serie D Girone D, with Carlo Speroni the venue – the ball rolls at 14:00 WAT. In the table, Pro Patria are 3rd, among the top four, on 21 points after 11 matches; Crema are 10th (lower half) with 15.
Current form
Pro Patria, last 5: WWWWL Their latest outing: 3–2 win over Pontedera, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 1 lost from 4. Scoring is no problem – 2.7 a game lately.
Crema, last 5: LDWLD Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Pistoiese, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Pro Patria, collecting 2.5 points per game to 0.8 for Crema.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Pro Patria 2.2 xG, Crema 0.7 xG – a total near 2.9. That is an open game on paper: 55% for three or more goals, 45% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Pro Patria 72%, draw 17%, Crema 11%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Pro Patria to win (72%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Pro Patria 2–0 Crema. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Pro Patria72%fair 1.38 · @1.22
Draw17%fair 5.95 · @5.00
Crema11%fair 9.25 · @9.50
2.93Expected goals
2.22Pro Patria xG
0.71Crema xG
45%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–013%
1–012%
3–010%
2–19%
1–18%
3–17%
From our goals model: Pro Patria 2.2 – 0.7 Crema expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Pro Patria to win✓
72%
1.38
1.22
Double chance
Pro Patria or draw✓
89%
1.12
1.03
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
55%
1.82
–
Draw no bet
Pro Patria (draw no bet)✓
87%
1.15
–
Asian handicap
Pro Patria -1 (Asian handicap)✓
63%
1.58
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
79%
1.26
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
55%
1.81
1.73
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
66%
1.51
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
83%
1.21
–
First team to score
Pro Patria to score first✓
72%
1.39
–
Half-time result
Pro Patria ahead at half-time✓
52%
1.93
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Pro Patria / FT Pro Patria✓
48%
2.09
–
Correct score
Correct score 3–0✗
10%
10.24
–
Recent results
Pro Patria – last 6
WWWWLW
13 Sep
@ Pontedera
3–2
W
6 Sep
vs Oltrepò
2–1
W
12 Aug
vs Gozzano
3–1
W
9 Aug
vs Imperia
2–1
W
19 Apr
vs Arzignano Valchiampo
2–3
L
13 Apr
@ Dolomiti Bellunesi
4–2
W
2.7Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Crema – last 6
LDWLDL
13 Sep
vs Pistoiese
1–3
L
6 Sep
@ Pavia
0–0
D
10 May
vs Coriano
2–0
W
3 May
@ Piacenza
1–3
L
26 Apr
vs Correggese
0–0
D
19 Apr
@ Pro Palazzolo
1–2
L
0.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Pro Patria and Crema.
Our pick is Pro Patria to win with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Pro Patria vs Crema?
On our numbers Pro Patria have a 72% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Crema 11%.
How many goals will there be in Pro Patria vs Crema?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 45% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Pro Patria vs Crema?
Our predicted score is Pro Patria 2–0 Crema, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Pro Patria vs Crema?
Pro Patria vs Crema (Serie D Girone D) kicks off on Wednesday 16 September 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Carlo Speroni.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
