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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Correggese v Varesina: numbers & prediction

2–1
FT
Correggese 36%Draw 25%Varesina 39% Expected goals 1.25 – 1.32
55%
Betarazi pick

Under 2.5 goals

Fair pick · fair odds 1.82 · bookmaker 1.65 · Lost ✗

4/10Rating
1.65Odds

Picks by market

ResultVaresina to win ✗39% · @2.70
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.33
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗52% · fair 1.91
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗10% · fair 9.94

Correggese vs Varesina: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

14:30 WAT, Wednesday 16 September: Correggese v Varesina in the Serie D Girone D. In the table, Correggese are 13th, lower half, on 12 points after 11 matches; Varesina are 14th (lower half) with 11. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Correggese, last 5: DDWDD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Arconatese, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.7 conceded per game.

Varesina, last 5: DWWDD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Sant'Angelo, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Correggese 1.3 xG, Varesina 1.3 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 45%, GG 48%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Correggese 36%, draw 25%, Varesina 39%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (55%, odds 1.65). Most likely score in line with that pick: Correggese 1–1 Varesina. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Correggese36%fair 2.76 · @2.55
Draw25%fair 4.08 · @2.88
Varesina39%fair 2.55 · @2.70
2.57Expected goals
1.25Correggese xG
1.32Varesina xG
48%Both score
45%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
0–110%
1–010%
1–28%
2–18%
0–08%

From our goals model: Correggese 1.3 – 1.3 Varesina expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultVaresina to win ✗39%2.552.70 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75%1.331.33
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✗52%1.91–
Draw no betVaresina (draw no bet) ✗52%1.92–
Asian handicapCorreggese +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓62%1.62–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓73%1.38–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗55%1.821.65
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74%1.35–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓88%1.13–
First team to scoreVaresina to score first47%2.11–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓43%2.30–
Half-time / full-timeHT Varesina / FT Varesina ✗22%4.53–
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗10%9.94–

Recent results

Correggese – last 6

DDWDDW
13 Sep@ Arconatese1–1D
6 Sepvs Sant'Angelo1–1D
3 Mayvs Pro Sesto1–0W
26 Apr@ Crema0–0D
19 Aprvs Trevigliese1–1D
2 Aprvs Sant'Angelo2–1W
1.0Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Varesina – last 6

DWWDDW
13 Sep@ Sant'Angelo1–1D
6 Sepvs Cittadella Vis Modena3–2W
10 May@ Castellanzese2–1W
3 May@ Caldiero Terme2–2D
26 Aprvs Breno2–2D
19 Apr@ Milan II1–0W
1.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Correggese and Varesina.

Correggese vs Varesina head-to-head page →

Serie D Girone D table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Pistoiese11911+1928
2Lentigione11731+824
3Pro Patria11632+721
4Castellanzese11614+819
5USD Casatese11614+119
6Pro Sesto11533+1218
7Cittadella Vis Modena11524+317
8Solbiatese11452+217
9Sant'Angelo11434015
10Crema11434-315
11Città di Varese11353+414
12Pavia11353+314
13Correggese11335-712
14Varesina11254-211
15Coriano11236-59
16Pontedera11218-167
17Arconatese11137-156
18Oltrepò11128-195

More Serie D Girone D predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Correggese vs Varesina?

Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 55% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.65.

Who will win Correggese vs Varesina?

On our numbers Correggese have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Varesina 39%.

How many goals will there be in Correggese vs Varesina?

We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Correggese vs Varesina?

Our predicted score is Correggese 1–1 Varesina, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.

When is Correggese vs Varesina?

Correggese vs Varesina (Serie D Girone D) kicks off on Wednesday 16 September 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.