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Cittadella Vis Modena v Città di Varese: numbers & prediction

Cittadella Vis Modena 48%Draw 23%Città di Varese 29% Expected goals 1.41 – 1.00
58%
Betarazi pick

Under 2.5 goals

Fair pick · fair odds 1.73 · bookmaker 1.60 · Won ✓

5/10Rating
1.60Odds

Picks by market

ResultCittadella Vis Modena to win ✗48% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77% · @1.28
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓55% · fair 1.83
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.29
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13% · fair 7.90

Cittadella Vis Modena vs Città di Varese: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Wednesday 16 September the Serie D Girone D brings Cittadella Vis Modena against Città di Varese. Kick-off: 15:00 WAT. In the table, Cittadella Vis Modena are 7th, upper half, on 17 points after 11 matches; Città di Varese are 11th (lower half) with 14. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Cittadella Vis Modena, last 5: WLLLW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Coriano, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Città di Varese, last 5: LDLWW Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Pro Sesto, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Cittadella Vis Modena 1.4 xG, Città di Varese 1.0 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 42%, GG 45%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Cittadella Vis Modena 48%, draw 23%, Città di Varese 29%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (58%, odds 1.60). Most likely score in line with that pick: Cittadella Vis Modena 1–0 Città di Varese. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Cittadella Vis Modena48%fair 2.06 · @2.10
Draw23%fair 4.35 · @3.10
Città di Varese29%fair 3.50 · @3.20
2.41Expected goals
1.41Cittadella Vis Modena xG
1.00Città di Varese xG
45%Both score
42%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–013%
1–113%
0–09%
0–19%
2–09%
2–19%

From our goals model: Cittadella Vis Modena 1.4 – 1.0 Città di Varese expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultCittadella Vis Modena to win ✗48%2.062.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77%1.301.28
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✓55%1.83–
Draw no betCittadella Vis Modena (draw no bet)63%1.59–
Asian handicapCittà di Varese +1 (Asian handicap) ✓70%1.42–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗69%1.44–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓58%1.731.60
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78%1.29–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓90%1.11–
First team to scoreCittadella Vis Modena to score first ✗53%1.88–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓45%2.24–
Half-time / full-timeHT Cittadella Vis Modena / FT Cittadella Vis Modena ✗27%3.65–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13%7.90–

Recent results

Cittadella Vis Modena – last 6

WLLLWW
13 Sepvs Coriano1–0W
6 Sep@ Varesina2–3L
1 Aug@ Livorno1–2L
3 May@ Pistoiese0–5L
26 Aprvs Pro Palazzolo1–0W
19 Apr@ Sangiuliano City1–0W
1.0Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Città di Varese – last 6

LDLWWL
13 Sepvs Pro Sesto0–2L
6 Sep@ Coriano1–1D
17 May@ Ligorna3–5L
3 May@ Lavagnese3–2W
19 Aprvs Derthona1–0W
2 Aprvs Valenzana1–2L
1.5Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Cittadella Vis Modena and Città di Varese.

Cittadella Vis Modena vs Città di Varese head-to-head page →

Serie D Girone D table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Pistoiese11911+1928
2Lentigione11731+824
3Pro Patria11632+721
4Castellanzese11614+819
5USD Casatese11614+119
6Pro Sesto11533+1218
7Cittadella Vis Modena11524+317
8Solbiatese11452+217
9Sant'Angelo11434015
10Crema11434-315
11Città di Varese11353+414
12Pavia11353+314
13Correggese11335-712
14Varesina11254-211
15Coriano11236-59
16Pontedera11218-167
17Arconatese11137-156
18Oltrepò11128-195

More Serie D Girone D predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Cittadella Vis Modena vs Città di Varese?

Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 58% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.60.

Who will win Cittadella Vis Modena vs Città di Varese?

On our numbers Cittadella Vis Modena have a 48% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Città di Varese 29%.

How many goals will there be in Cittadella Vis Modena vs Città di Varese?

We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 45% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Cittadella Vis Modena vs Città di Varese?

Our predicted score is Cittadella Vis Modena 1–0 Città di Varese, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.

When is Cittadella Vis Modena vs Città di Varese?

Cittadella Vis Modena vs Città di Varese (Serie D Girone D) kicks off on Wednesday 16 September 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.