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Castellanzese v USD Casatese: numbers & prediction

0–1
FT
Castellanzese 41%Draw 23%USD Casatese 36% Expected goals 1.43 – 1.33
60%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Good pick · fair odds 1.66 · bookmaker 1.69 · Lost ✗

5/10Rating
1.69Odds

Picks by market

ResultCastellanzese to win ✗41% · @2.37
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗60% · @1.69
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗76% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.64

Castellanzese vs USD Casatese: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

14:30 WAT, Sunday 8 November: Castellanzese v USD Casatese in the Serie D Girone D. In the table, Castellanzese are 4th, among the top four, on 19 points after 11 matches; USD Casatese are 5th (upper half) with 19. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Castellanzese, last 5: LDWWW Their latest outing: 2–4 defeat to Pistoiese, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.0 a game lately. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

USD Casatese, last 5: WLLWL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Pro Sesto, at home. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Castellanzese, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.5 for USD Casatese.

Head to head

When they last met (2 Apr 2026) it ended USD Casatese 1–0 Castellanzese.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Castellanzese 1.4 xG, USD Casatese 1.3 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 51%, GG 60%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Castellanzese 41%, draw 23%, USD Casatese 36%.
  • GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.69.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (60%, odds 1.69). Most likely score in line with that pick: Castellanzese 1–1 USD Casatese. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Castellanzese41%fair 2.45 · @2.37
Draw23%fair 4.39 · @3.15
USD Casatese36%fair 2.74 · @2.70
2.76Expected goals
1.43Castellanzese xG
1.33USD Casatese xG
60%Both score
51%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%
1–09%
2–19%
0–18%
1–28%
2–06%

From our goals model: Castellanzese 1.4 – 1.3 USD Casatese expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultCastellanzese to win ✗41%2.452.37
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77%1.291.30
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗60%1.661.69
Draw no betCastellanzese (draw no bet) ✗53%1.89–
Asian handicapUSD Casatese +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓61%1.65–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗76%1.31–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗51%1.961.82
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓70%1.43–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓85%1.17–
First team to scoreCastellanzese to score first ✗48%2.06–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓42%2.40–
Half-time / full-timeHT Castellanzese / FT Castellanzese ✗23%4.34–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%11.64–

Recent results

Castellanzese – last 6

LDWWWW
1 Nov@ Pistoiese2–4L
25 Octvs Varesina1–1D
18 Oct@ Correggese2–0W
11 Octvs Arconatese1–0W
4 Oct@ Sant'Angelo2–1W
27 Sepvs Crema4–0W
2.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

USD Casatese – last 6

WLLWLW
1 Novvs Pro Sesto1–0W
25 Oct@ Pavia1–3L
18 Octvs Pro Patria1–2L
11 Oct@ Cittadella Vis Modena1–0W
4 Octvs Pistoiese0–3L
27 Sepvs Varesina4–2W
1.3Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

2 Apr 2026USD Casatese v Castellanzese1–0
Castellanzese vs USD Casatese head-to-head page →

Serie D Girone D table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Pistoiese11911+1928
2Lentigione11731+824
3Pro Patria11632+721
4Castellanzese11614+819
5USD Casatese11614+119
6Pro Sesto11533+1218
7Cittadella Vis Modena11524+317
8Solbiatese11452+217
9Sant'Angelo11434015
10Crema11434-315
11Città di Varese11353+414
12Pavia11353+314
13Correggese11335-712
14Varesina11254-211
15Coriano11236-59
16Pontedera11218-167
17Arconatese11137-156
18Oltrepò11128-195

More Serie D Girone D predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Castellanzese vs USD Casatese?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.69.

Who will win Castellanzese vs USD Casatese?

On our numbers Castellanzese have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 23% and USD Casatese 36%.

How many goals will there be in Castellanzese vs USD Casatese?

We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Castellanzese vs USD Casatese?

Our predicted score is Castellanzese 1–1 USD Casatese, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.

When is Castellanzese vs USD Casatese?

Castellanzese vs USD Casatese (Serie D Girone D) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.