Pro Patria vs Pistoiese: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Pistoiese travel to face Pro Patria on Sunday 8 November in the Serie D Girone D, with Carlo Speroni the venue – the ball rolls at 14:30 WAT. In the table, Pro Patria are 3rd, among the top four, on 21 points after 11 matches; Pistoiese are 1st (leading the league) with 28.
Current form
Pro Patria, last 5: LDDWW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Pavia, away. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Pistoiese, last 5: WLWWL Their latest outing: 4–2 win over Castellanzese, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Pro Patria 1.1 xG, Pistoiese 1.4 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 44%, GG 52%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Pro Patria 31%, draw 26%, Pistoiese 43%.
GG/NG: GG (52%) at 1.82.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (56%, odds 1.62). Most likely score in line with that pick: Pro Patria 1–1 Pistoiese. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Pro Patria31%fair 3.26 · @3.40
Draw26%fair 3.80 · @2.65
Pistoiese43%fair 2.33 · @2.30
2.47Expected goals
1.10Pro Patria xG
1.36Pistoiese xG
52%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–112%
1–09%
1–29%
0–08%
0–28%
From our goals model: Pro Patria 1.1 – 1.4 Pistoiese expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Pistoiese to win✗
43%
2.33
2.30
Double chance
Either team to win✗
74%
1.36
1.38
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
52%
1.91
1.82
Draw no bet
Pistoiese (draw no bet)
58%
1.71
–
Asian handicap
Pro Patria +1 (Asian handicap)✓
74%
1.35
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
71%
1.42
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
56%
1.80
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
76%
1.31
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
90%
1.12
–
First team to score
Pistoiese to score first✗
51%
1.98
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
44%
2.25
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Pistoiese / FT Pistoiese✗
25%
4.02
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.50
–
Recent results
Pro Patria – last 6
LDDWWW
1 Nov
@ Pavia
0–1
L
28 Oct
@ Leon
1–1
D
25 Oct
vs Correggese
1–1
D
18 Oct
@ USD Casatese
2–1
W
11 Oct
vs Sant'Angelo
1–0
W
7 Oct
@ Città di Varese
5–2
W
1.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Pistoiese – last 6
WLWWLW
1 Nov
vs Castellanzese
4–2
W
25 Oct
@ Cittadella Vis Modena
1–2
L
18 Oct
vs Pavia
1–0
W
11 Oct
vs Correggese
1–0
W
7 Oct
@ Sestri Levante
0–1
L
4 Oct
@ USD Casatese
3–0
W
1.7Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Pro Patria and Pistoiese.
What is the prediction for Pro Patria vs Pistoiese?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 56% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.
Who will win Pro Patria vs Pistoiese?
On our numbers Pro Patria have a 31% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Pistoiese 43%.
How many goals will there be in Pro Patria vs Pistoiese?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Pro Patria vs Pistoiese?
Our predicted score is Pro Patria 1–1 Pistoiese, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Pro Patria vs Pistoiese?
Pro Patria vs Pistoiese (Serie D Girone D) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time) at Carlo Speroni.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
