Value bet: Varesina to win @ 2.32 – our chance 46% vs 43% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultVaresina to win ✗46% · @2.32
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.71
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.25
Coriano vs Varesina: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
14:30 WAT, Sunday 8 November: Coriano v Varesina in the Serie D Girone D. In the table, Coriano are 15th, lower half, on 9 points after 11 matches; Varesina are 14th (lower half) with 11. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Coriano, last 5: DLLLL Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Correggese, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Varesina, last 5: WDDDD Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Città di Varese, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Varesina, collecting 1.2 points per game to 0.3 for Coriano.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Coriano 1.1 xG, Varesina 1.4 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 58%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Coriano 31%, draw 23%, Varesina 46%.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.71.
Price worth noting: Varesina to win @2.32 – the bookmaker implies 43%, our ratings say 46%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (58%, odds 1.71). Most likely score in line with that pick: Coriano 1–1 Varesina. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Coriano31%fair 3.21 · @2.77
Draw23%fair 4.39 · @3.15
Varesina46%fair 2.17 · @2.32
2.50Expected goals
1.09Coriano xG
1.41Varesina xG
58%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–112%
1–09%
1–29%
0–08%
0–28%
From our goals model: Coriano 1.1 – 1.4 Varesina expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Varesina to win✗
46%
2.17
2.32 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.29
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
58%
1.73
1.71
Draw no bet
Varesina (draw no bet)✗
60%
1.68
–
Asian handicap
Coriano +1 (Asian handicap)✓
72%
1.38
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
71%
1.40
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
54%
1.87
1.72
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
89%
1.12
–
First team to score
Varesina to score first
52%
1.93
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
44%
2.28
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Varesina / FT Varesina✗
26%
3.85
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.25
–
Recent results
Coriano – last 6
DLLLLD
1 Nov
@ Correggese
2–2
D
25 Oct
vs Arconatese
1–2
L
21 Oct
@ Solbiatese
1–2
L
18 Oct
@ Sant'Angelo
0–2
L
14 Oct
vs Pontedera
1–2
L
11 Oct
vs Crema
0–0
D
0.8Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Varesina – last 6
WDDDDL
1 Nov
vs Città di Varese
3–1
W
25 Oct
@ Castellanzese
1–1
D
18 Oct
vs Pro Sesto
0–0
D
11 Oct
@ Pavia
2–2
D
4 Oct
vs Pro Patria
0–0
D
27 Sep
@ USD Casatese
2–4
L
1.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Coriano and Varesina.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 58% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.71.
Who will win Coriano vs Varesina?
On our numbers Coriano have a 31% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Varesina 46%.
How many goals will there be in Coriano vs Varesina?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Coriano vs Varesina?
Our predicted score is Coriano 1–1 Varesina, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Coriano vs Varesina?
Coriano vs Varesina (Serie D Girone D) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.