Cittadella Vis Modena 45%Draw 23%Pavia 31%Expected goals 1.16 – 0.89
62%
Betarazi pick
Under 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.61 · bookmaker 1.57 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.57Odds
Picks by market
ResultCittadella Vis Modena to win ✓45% · @2.12
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.31
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓50% · @1.99
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓85% · fair 1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓8% · fair 12.97
Cittadella Vis Modena vs Pavia: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 8 November the Serie D Girone D brings Cittadella Vis Modena against Pavia. Kick-off: 14:30 WAT. In the table, Cittadella Vis Modena are 7th, upper half, on 17 points after 11 matches; Pavia are 12th (lower half) with 14. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Cittadella Vis Modena, last 5: LWDLL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Crema, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.
Pavia, last 5: WWLDL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Pro Patria, at home. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Cittadella Vis Modena 1.2 xG, Pavia 0.9 xG – a total near 2.0. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 62%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Cittadella Vis Modena 45%, draw 23%, Pavia 31%.
GG/NG: GG (50%) at 1.99.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (62%, odds 1.57). Most likely score in line with that pick: Cittadella Vis Modena 1–0 Pavia. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Cittadella Vis Modena45%fair 2.20 · @2.12
Draw23%fair 4.32 · @3.05
Pavia31%fair 3.19 · @3.20
2.05Expected goals
1.16Cittadella Vis Modena xG
0.89Pavia xG
50%Both score
38%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–015%
1–113%
0–013%
0–111%
2–09%
2–18%
From our goals model: Cittadella Vis Modena 1.2 – 0.9 Pavia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Cittadella Vis Modena to win✓
45%
2.20
2.12
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.30
1.31
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
50%
2.00
1.99
Draw no bet
Cittadella Vis Modena (draw no bet)✓
59%
1.69
–
Asian handicap
Pavia +1 (Asian handicap)
76%
1.31
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
61%
1.65
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
62%
1.61
1.57
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
85%
1.18
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
94%
1.06
–
First team to score
Cittadella Vis Modena to score first✓
49%
2.03
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
49%
2.04
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Cittadella Vis Modena / FT Cittadella Vis Modena✓
24%
4.18
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✓
8%
12.97
–
Recent results
Cittadella Vis Modena – last 6
LWDLLW
1 Nov
@ Crema
1–2
L
25 Oct
vs Pistoiese
2–1
W
18 Oct
@ Oltrepò
0–0
D
11 Oct
vs USD Casatese
0–1
L
7 Oct
@ Sasso Marconi Zola
0–1
L
4 Oct
@ Pontedera
3–0
W
1.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Pavia – last 6
WWLDLL
1 Nov
vs Pro Patria
1–0
W
25 Oct
vs USD Casatese
3–1
W
18 Oct
@ Pistoiese
0–1
L
11 Oct
vs Varesina
2–2
D
7 Oct
vs Sant'Angelo
1–3
L
4 Oct
@ Correggese
1–2
L
1.3Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Cittadella Vis Modena and Pavia.
What is the prediction for Cittadella Vis Modena vs Pavia?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.
Who will win Cittadella Vis Modena vs Pavia?
On our numbers Cittadella Vis Modena have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Pavia 31%.
How many goals will there be in Cittadella Vis Modena vs Pavia?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 38% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Cittadella Vis Modena vs Pavia?
Our predicted score is Cittadella Vis Modena 1–0 Pavia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Cittadella Vis Modena vs Pavia?
Cittadella Vis Modena vs Pavia (Serie D Girone D) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
