Good pick · fair odds 1.55 · bookmaker 1.34 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.34Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.04 – our chance 53% vs 49% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultLentigione to win ✓64% · @1.34
Double chanceEither team to win ✓83% · @1.16
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · @2.04
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.27
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓10% · fair 10.08
Lentigione vs Arconatese: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Lentigione welcome Arconatese for a Serie D Girone D fixture on Sunday 8 November (14:30 WAT). In the table, Lentigione are 2nd, among the top four, on 24 points after 11 matches; Arconatese are 17th (in the drop zone) with 6. There are 18 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Lentigione, last 5: WDDWL Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Sant'Angelo, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Arconatese, last 5: LWLLD Their latest outing: 3–4 defeat to Pontedera, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 2.2 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Lentigione, collecting 1.8 points per game to 0.8 for Arconatese.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Lentigione 2.0 xG, Arconatese 0.9 xG – a total near 2.9. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 55% and GG at 53%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Lentigione 64%, draw 17%, Arconatese 18%.
GG/NG: GG (53%) at 2.04.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.04 – the bookmaker implies 49%, our ratings say 53%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Lentigione to win (64%, odds 1.34). Most likely score in line with that pick: Lentigione 1–0 Arconatese. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Lentigione64%fair 1.55 · @1.34
Draw17%fair 5.79 · @4.50
Arconatese18%fair 5.47 · @7.20
2.91Expected goals
1.99Lentigione xG
0.91Arconatese xG
53%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–011%
2–011%
1–110%
2–110%
3–07%
3–17%
From our goals model: Lentigione 2.0 – 0.9 Arconatese expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Lentigione to win✓
64%
1.55
1.34
Double chance
Either team to win✓
83%
1.21
1.16
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
53%
1.90
2.04 ▲
Draw no bet
Lentigione (draw no bet)✓
78%
1.28
–
Asian handicap
Lentigione -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
63%
1.60
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
79%
1.27
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
55%
1.82
1.67
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
67%
1.50
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
83%
1.20
–
First team to score
Lentigione to score first
65%
1.54
–
Half-time result
Lentigione ahead at half-time✗
45%
2.21
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Lentigione / FT Lentigione✗
40%
2.50
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✓
10%
10.08
–
Recent results
Lentigione – last 6
WDDWLW
1 Nov
@ Sant'Angelo
2–0
W
25 Oct
vs Crema
1–1
D
18 Oct
@ Solbiatese
2–2
D
11 Oct
vs Pontedera
2–0
W
7 Oct
vs Piacenza
1–3
L
4 Oct
@ Oltrepò
2–1
W
1.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Arconatese – last 6
LWLLDD
1 Nov
vs Pontedera
3–4
L
25 Oct
@ Coriano
2–1
W
18 Oct
vs Città di Varese
1–5
L
11 Oct
@ Castellanzese
0–1
L
4 Oct
vs Pro Sesto
1–1
D
27 Sep
@ Pavia
1–1
D
1.3Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Lentigione and Arconatese.
What is the prediction for Lentigione vs Arconatese?
Our pick is Lentigione to win with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.34.
Who will win Lentigione vs Arconatese?
On our numbers Lentigione have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Arconatese 18%.
How many goals will there be in Lentigione vs Arconatese?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Lentigione vs Arconatese?
Our predicted score is Lentigione 1–0 Arconatese, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Lentigione vs Arconatese?
Lentigione vs Arconatese (Serie D Girone D) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
