Value bet: Afragolese to win @ 2.90 – our chance 37% vs 34% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultAlbalonga to win ✗40% · @2.27
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77% · @1.31
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗56% · @1.73
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.18
Albalonga vs Afragolese: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Afragolese travel to face Albalonga on Sunday 8 November in the Serie D Girone G – the ball rolls at 14:30 WAT. In the table, Albalonga are 3rd, among the top four, on 17 points after 11 matches; Afragolese are 8th (upper half) with 15. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Albalonga, last 5: WDWDL Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Latte Dolce, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Afragolese, last 5: WDWDL Their latest outing: 4–1 win over Aranova, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.2 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Albalonga 1.3 xG, Afragolese 1.2 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 47%, GG 56%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Albalonga 40%, draw 23%, Afragolese 37%.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.73.
Price worth noting: Afragolese to win @2.90 – the bookmaker implies 34%, our ratings say 37%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (56%, odds 1.73). Most likely score in line with that pick: Albalonga 1–1 Afragolese. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Albalonga40%fair 2.51 · @2.27
Draw23%fair 4.32 · @3.05
Afragolese37%fair 2.70 · @2.90
2.51Expected goals
1.28Albalonga xG
1.23Afragolese xG
56%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–010%
0–110%
2–18%
0–08%
1–28%
From our goals model: Albalonga 1.3 – 1.2 Afragolese expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Albalonga to win✗
40%
2.51
2.27
Double chance
Either team to win✗
77%
1.30
1.31
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
56%
1.79
1.73
Draw no bet
Albalonga (draw no bet)
52%
1.93
–
Asian handicap
Afragolese +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
62%
1.61
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
71%
1.40
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
53%
1.87
1.72
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
89%
1.12
–
First team to score
Albalonga to score first✗
47%
2.13
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
44%
2.27
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Albalonga / FT Albalonga✗
22%
4.59
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
12.18
–
Recent results
Albalonga – last 6
WDWDLL
1 Nov
@ Latte Dolce
2–0
W
25 Oct
vs Unipomezia
1–1
D
18 Oct
@ Budoni
4–2
W
11 Oct
vs Certosa V. Campagnano
0–0
D
7 Oct
@ Certosa V. Campagnano
1–4
L
4 Oct
vs Anzio
0–2
L
1.3Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Afragolese – last 6
WDWDLL
31 Oct
vs Aranova
4–1
W
25 Oct
@ Anzio
0–0
D
17 Oct
vs Atletico Lodigiani
4–0
W
11 Oct
@ Sarrabus Ogliastra
0–0
D
4 Oct
vs Ossese
0–2
L
27 Sep
@ Città di Anagni
0–4
L
1.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
17%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Albalonga and Afragolese.
What is the prediction for Albalonga vs Afragolese?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 56% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.73.
Who will win Albalonga vs Afragolese?
On our numbers Albalonga have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Afragolese 37%.
How many goals will there be in Albalonga vs Afragolese?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Albalonga vs Afragolese?
Our predicted score is Albalonga 1–1 Afragolese, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Albalonga vs Afragolese?
Albalonga vs Afragolese (Serie D Girone G) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
