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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Atletico Lodigiani v Ossese: numbers & prediction

3–0
FT

Ossese

DDLDW
Atletico Lodigiani 24%Draw 17%Ossese 59% Expected goals 1.04 – 1.85
67%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.49 · bookmaker 1.35 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.35Odds
2

Value bet: Ossese to win @ 1.83 – our chance 59% vs 55% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultOssese to win ✗59% · @1.83
Double chanceEither team to win ✓83% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗58% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · @1.19
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.11

Atletico Lodigiani vs Ossese: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Sunday 8 November the Serie D Girone G brings Atletico Lodigiani against Ossese. Kick-off: 15:00 WAT. In the table, Atletico Lodigiani are 18th, in the drop zone, on 6 points after 11 matches; Ossese are 11th (lower half) with 14.

Current form

Atletico Lodigiani, last 5: DDLLL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Gelbison, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Ossese, last 5: DDLDW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Paganese, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Ossese, collecting 1.2 points per game to 0.3 for Atletico Lodigiani.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Atletico Lodigiani 1.0 xG, Ossese 1.9 xG – a total near 2.9. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 55%, GG 58%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Atletico Lodigiani 24%, draw 17%, Ossese 59%.
  • GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.62.
  • Price worth noting: Ossese to win @1.83 – the bookmaker implies 55%, our ratings say 59%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (67%, odds 1.35). Most likely score in line with that pick: Atletico Lodigiani 1–1 Ossese. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Atletico Lodigiani24%fair 4.14 · @3.32
Draw17%fair 6.06 · @3.64
Ossese59%fair 1.69 · @1.83
2.89Expected goals
1.04Atletico Lodigiani xG
1.85Ossese xG
58%Both score
55%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–111%
0–110%
1–210%
0–29%
1–36%
0–36%

From our goals model: Atletico Lodigiani 1.0 – 1.9 Ossese expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultOssese to win ✗59%1.691.83 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✓83%1.201.18
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗58%1.721.62
Draw no betOssese (draw no bet) ✗71%1.41–
Asian handicapAtletico Lodigiani +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✓68%1.48–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77%1.301.19
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓55%1.831.70
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓67%1.491.35
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓82%1.211.11
First team to scoreOssese to score first ✗60%1.66–
Half-time resultOssese ahead at half-time ✗41%2.43–
Half-time / full-timeHT Ossese / FT Ossese ✗35%2.85–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10%10.11–

Recent results

Atletico Lodigiani – last 6

DDLLLL
1 Nov@ Gelbison1–1D
25 Octvs Venafro1–1D
17 Oct@ Afragolese0–4L
11 Octvs Sarnese0–1L
4 Oct@ Unipomezia1–3L
27 Sepvs Trastevere2–3L
0.8Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Ossese – last 6

DDLDWD
1 Nov@ Paganese1–1D
25 Octvs Budoni2–2D
18 Oct@ Gelbison1–2L
11 Octvs Venafro1–1D
4 Oct@ Afragolese2–0W
27 Sepvs Sarnese2–2D
1.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Atletico Lodigiani and Ossese.

Atletico Lodigiani vs Ossese head-to-head page →

Serie D Girone G table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Sarnese11821+1126
2Trastevere10532-118
3Albalonga11452+417
4Monastir11524+317
5Certosa V. Campagnano11524+317
6Unipomezia11443+416
7Anzio10442+416
8Afragolese11362+515
9Aranova11434-115
10Paganese11425+414
11Ossese11353014
12Città di Anagni11425-214
13Budoni11425-514
14Venafro11344-413
15Sarrabus Ogliastra11335-112
16Gelbison11326-811
17Latte Dolce11245-510
18Atletico Lodigiani11137-116

More Serie D Girone G predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Atletico Lodigiani vs Ossese?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.35.

Who will win Atletico Lodigiani vs Ossese?

On our numbers Atletico Lodigiani have a 24% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Ossese 59%.

How many goals will there be in Atletico Lodigiani vs Ossese?

We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Atletico Lodigiani vs Ossese?

Our predicted score is Atletico Lodigiani 1–1 Ossese, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.

When is Atletico Lodigiani vs Ossese?

Atletico Lodigiani vs Ossese (Serie D Girone G) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.