Aranova vs Venafro: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
14:30 WAT, Sunday 8 November: Aranova v Venafro in the Serie D Girone G. In the table, Aranova are 9th, upper half, on 15 points after 11 matches; Venafro are 14th (lower half) with 13. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Aranova, last 5: LWWWL Their latest outing: 1–4 defeat to Afragolese, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Venafro, last 5: DDWDW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Città di Anagni, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Aranova 1.7 xG, Venafro 0.8 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 55%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Aranova 59%, draw 27%, Venafro 14%.
Lower-risk option: Aranova or draw (86%) at 1.13.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.87.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (74%, odds 1.23). Most likely score in line with that pick: Aranova 1–0 Venafro. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Aranova59%fair 1.70 · @1.78
Draw27%fair 3.75 · @3.10
Venafro14%fair 6.90 · @4.20
2.52Expected goals
1.74Aranova xG
0.77Venafro xG
55%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
2–012%
1–111%
2–19%
0–08%
3–07%
From our goals model: Aranova 1.7 – 0.8 Venafro expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Aranova to win✗
59%
1.70
1.78
Double chance
Aranova or draw✗
86%
1.17
1.13
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
55%
1.82
1.87
Draw no bet
Aranova (draw no bet)✗
80%
1.25
–
Asian handicap
Aranova -0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
61%
1.65
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
70%
1.43
1.32
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.84
1.67
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
74%
1.34
1.23
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
89%
1.12
–
First team to score
Aranova to score first✗
64%
1.57
–
Half-time result
Aranova ahead at half-time✗
43%
2.34
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Aranova / FT Aranova✗
38%
2.65
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.54
–
Recent results
Aranova – last 6
LWWWLD
31 Oct
@ Afragolese
1–4
L
25 Oct
vs Sarnese
2–1
W
18 Oct
@ Unipomezia
4–3
W
11 Oct
vs Trastevere
2–0
W
4 Oct
@ Certosa V. Campagnano
1–2
L
27 Sep
vs Latte Dolce
1–1
D
1.8Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Venafro – last 6
DDWDWL
1 Nov
vs Città di Anagni
1–1
D
25 Oct
@ Atletico Lodigiani
1–1
D
18 Oct
vs Paganese
1–0
W
11 Oct
@ Ossese
1–1
D
4 Oct
@ Gelbison
1–0
W
27 Sep
vs Budoni
2–3
L
1.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Aranova and Venafro.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.23.
Who will win Aranova vs Venafro?
On our numbers Aranova have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Venafro 14%.
How many goals will there be in Aranova vs Venafro?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Aranova vs Venafro?
Our predicted score is Aranova 1–0 Venafro, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Aranova vs Venafro?
Aranova vs Venafro (Serie D Girone G) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.