Monastir vs Sarnese: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Monastir welcome Sarnese for a Serie D Girone G fixture on Sunday 8 November (14:30 WAT). In the table, Monastir are 4th, among the top four, on 17 points after 11 matches; Sarnese are 1st (leading the league) with 26.
Current form
Monastir, last 5: LDLWW Their latest outing: 2–4 defeat to Unipomezia, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. 2.5 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Sarnese, last 5: WLWWW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Sarrabus Ogliastra, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Sarnese, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.3 for Monastir.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Monastir 1.5 xG, Sarnese 1.6 xG – a total near 3.0. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 55% and GG at 64%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Monastir 37%, draw 22%, Sarnese 41%.
GG/NG: GG (64%) at 1.64.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (77%, odds 1.23). Most likely score in line with that pick: Monastir 1–1 Sarnese. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Monastir37%fair 2.70 · @2.50
Draw22%fair 4.60 · @3.26
Sarnese41%fair 2.43 · @2.46
3.05Expected goals
1.48Monastir xG
1.57Sarnese xG
64%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
1–29%
2–18%
0–17%
1–07%
2–26%
From our goals model: Monastir 1.5 – 1.6 Sarnese expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sarnese to win✓
41%
2.43
2.46
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.28
1.23
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
64%
1.57
1.64
Draw no bet
Sarnese (draw no bet)✓
53%
1.90
–
Asian handicap
Monastir +1 (Asian handicap)✗
75%
1.33
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
1.23
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
55%
1.83
1.82
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
67%
1.50
1.30
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
82%
1.22
1.10
First team to score
Sarnese to score first✓
49%
2.04
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
39%
2.54
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Sarnese / FT Sarnese✓
24%
4.21
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.56
–
Recent results
Monastir – last 6
LDLWWD
1 Nov
@ Unipomezia
2–4
L
24 Oct
vs Trastevere
2–2
D
18 Oct
@ Certosa V. Campagnano
2–3
L
11 Oct
vs Latte Dolce
2–1
W
4 Oct
@ Budoni
5–1
W
27 Sep
vs Albalonga
2–2
D
2.5Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Sarnese – last 6
WLWWWD
1 Nov
vs Sarrabus Ogliastra
2–0
W
25 Oct
@ Aranova
1–2
L
18 Oct
vs Città di Anagni
1–0
W
11 Oct
@ Atletico Lodigiani
1–0
W
4 Oct
vs Paganese
2–1
W
27 Sep
@ Ossese
2–2
D
1.5Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Monastir and Sarnese.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.23.
Who will win Monastir vs Sarnese?
On our numbers Monastir have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Sarnese 41%.
How many goals will there be in Monastir vs Sarnese?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Monastir vs Sarnese?
Our predicted score is Monastir 1–1 Sarnese, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Monastir vs Sarnese?
Monastir vs Sarnese (Serie D Girone G) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
