Sarrabus Ogliastra vs Paganese: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 8 November the Serie D Girone G brings Sarrabus Ogliastra against Paganese. Kick-off: 14:00 WAT. In the table, Sarrabus Ogliastra are 15th, lower half, on 12 points after 11 matches; Paganese are 10th (lower half) with 14. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Sarrabus Ogliastra, last 5: LWLDL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Sarnese, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Paganese, last 5: DLLWD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Ossese, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Sarrabus Ogliastra 1.2 xG, Paganese 1.5 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 50%, GG 57%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Sarrabus Ogliastra 31%, draw 23%, Paganese 45%.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.76.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (57%, odds 1.76). Most likely score in line with that pick: Sarrabus Ogliastra 1–1 Paganese. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Sarrabus Ogliastra31%fair 3.18 · @3.05
Draw23%fair 4.31 · @3.05
Paganese45%fair 2.20 · @2.20
2.70Expected goals
1.20Sarrabus Ogliastra xG
1.50Paganese xG
57%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
0–110%
1–29%
1–08%
0–28%
2–17%
From our goals model: Sarrabus Ogliastra 1.2 – 1.5 Paganese expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Paganese to win✗
45%
2.20
2.20
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.30
1.31
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
57%
1.76
1.76
Draw no bet
Paganese (draw no bet)✗
59%
1.69
–
Asian handicap
Sarrabus Ogliastra +1 (Asian handicap)✓
72%
1.39
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
50%
2.00
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
71%
1.40
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
86%
1.16
–
First team to score
Paganese to score first✗
52%
1.93
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
42%
2.38
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Paganese / FT Paganese✗
26%
3.81
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.01
–
Recent results
Sarrabus Ogliastra – last 6
LWLDLL
1 Nov
@ Sarnese
0–2
L
25 Oct
vs Gelbison
3–0
W
18 Oct
@ Trastevere
2–3
L
11 Oct
vs Afragolese
0–0
D
7 Oct
@ Latte Dolce
0–3
L
4 Oct
@ Latte Dolce
0–1
L
0.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
17%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Paganese – last 6
DLLWDL
1 Nov
vs Ossese
1–1
D
25 Oct
@ Città di Anagni
1–2
L
18 Oct
@ Venafro
0–1
L
11 Oct
vs Budoni
3–0
W
7 Oct
vs Real Normanna
1–1
D
4 Oct
@ Sarnese
1–2
L
1.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sarrabus Ogliastra and Paganese.
What is the prediction for Sarrabus Ogliastra vs Paganese?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 57% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.76.
Who will win Sarrabus Ogliastra vs Paganese?
On our numbers Sarrabus Ogliastra have a 31% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Paganese 45%.
How many goals will there be in Sarrabus Ogliastra vs Paganese?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sarrabus Ogliastra vs Paganese?
Our predicted score is Sarrabus Ogliastra 1–1 Paganese, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Sarrabus Ogliastra vs Paganese?
Sarrabus Ogliastra vs Paganese (Serie D Girone G) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
