Good pick · fair odds 1.53 · bookmaker 1.53 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.53Odds
Picks by market
ResultAZ Alkmaar to win ✓65% · @1.53
Double chanceAZ Alkmaar or draw ✓86% · @1.14
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗54% · @1.70
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.34
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.47
Ararat-Armenia vs AZ Alkmaar: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
AZ Alkmaar travel to face Ararat-Armenia on Thursday 22 October in the UEFA Europa League, with Vazgen Sargsyan Republican Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 17:45 WAT. In the table, Ararat-Armenia are 36th, in the drop zone, on 0 points after 4 matches; AZ Alkmaar are 14th (upper half) with 6.
Current form
Ararat-Armenia, last 5: WLDWL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over BKMA, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
AZ Alkmaar, last 5: DWLWL Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Cambuur, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Ararat-Armenia 0.7 xG, AZ Alkmaar 1.9 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 50%, GG 54%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Ararat-Armenia 14%, draw 21%, AZ Alkmaar 65%.
Lower-risk option: AZ Alkmaar or draw (86%) at 1.14.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 1.70.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was AZ Alkmaar to win (65%, odds 1.53). Most likely score in line with that pick: Ararat-Armenia 0–1 AZ Alkmaar. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Ararat-Armenia14%fair 7.31 · @5.50
Draw21%fair 4.77 · @4.20
AZ Alkmaar65%fair 1.53 · @1.53
2.67Expected goals
0.74Ararat-Armenia xG
1.93AZ Alkmaar xG
54%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–113%
0–213%
1–110%
1–210%
0–38%
0–07%
From our goals model: Ararat-Armenia 0.7 – 1.9 AZ Alkmaar expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
AZ Alkmaar to win✓
65%
1.53
1.53
Double chance
AZ Alkmaar or draw✓
86%
1.16
1.14
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
54%
1.84
1.70
Draw no bet
AZ Alkmaar (draw no bet)✓
83%
1.21
–
Asian handicap
AZ Alkmaar -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
65%
1.53
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
75%
1.34
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
50%
2.00
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
72%
1.39
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
87%
1.15
–
First team to score
AZ Alkmaar to score first✓
67%
1.49
–
Half-time result
AZ Alkmaar ahead at half-time✓
46%
2.16
–
Half-time / full-time
HT AZ Alkmaar / FT AZ Alkmaar✓
42%
2.40
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.47
–
Recent results
Ararat-Armenia – last 6
WLDWLW
18 Oct
@ BKMA
1–0
W
15 Oct
@ Jagiellonia
1–3
L
10 Oct
vs Alashkert
1–1
D
20 Sep
@ Shirak
3–1
W
16 Sep
vs Sparta Praha
1–4
L
11 Sep
vs Syunik
3–0
W
1.7Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
AZ Alkmaar – last 6
DWLWLD
18 Oct
@ Cambuur
2–2
D
15 Oct
vs Hapoel Beer Sheva
2–1
W
10 Oct
@ Feyenoord
0–2
L
20 Sep
vs Telstar
1–0
W
16 Sep
@ Sunderland
0–1
L
11 Sep
vs Willem II
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Ararat-Armenia and AZ Alkmaar.
What is the prediction for Ararat-Armenia vs AZ Alkmaar?
Our pick is AZ Alkmaar to win with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.
Who will win Ararat-Armenia vs AZ Alkmaar?
On our numbers Ararat-Armenia have a 14% chance of winning, the draw 21% and AZ Alkmaar 65%.
How many goals will there be in Ararat-Armenia vs AZ Alkmaar?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Ararat-Armenia vs AZ Alkmaar?
Our predicted score is Ararat-Armenia 0–1 AZ Alkmaar, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Ararat-Armenia vs AZ Alkmaar?
Ararat-Armenia vs AZ Alkmaar (UEFA Europa League) kicks off on Thursday 22 October 2026 at 17:45 (West Africa Time) at Vazgen Sargsyan Republican Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
