Lech Poznan 20%Draw 20%Sunderland 60%Expected goals 1.31 – 2.32
64%
Betarazi pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.55 · bookmaker 1.75 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.75Odds
Picks by market
ResultSunderland to win ✗60% · @1.67
Double chanceEither team to win ✗80% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓64% · @1.75
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗70% · fair 1.42
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.69
Lech Poznan vs Sunderland: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Lech Poznan welcome Sunderland to Stadion Miejski for a UEFA Europa League fixture on Thursday 22 October (17:45 WAT). In the table, Lech Poznan are 35th, in the drop zone, on 1 points after 4 matches; Sunderland are 11th (upper half) with 7.
Current form
Lech Poznan, last 5: WLWDW Their latest outing: 6–1 win over Korona Kielce, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 4. Scoring is no problem – 2.8 a game lately.
Sunderland, last 5: LWLLW Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Bournemouth, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Lech Poznan, collecting 1.7 points per game to 1.0 for Sunderland.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Lech Poznan 1.3 xG, Sunderland 2.3 xG – a total near 3.6. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 70% and GG at 64%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Lech Poznan 20%, draw 20%, Sunderland 60%.
GG/NG: GG (64%) at 1.75.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (64%, odds 1.75 – longer than our fair 1.55, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Lech Poznan 1–2 Sunderland. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Lech Poznan20%fair 4.97 · @4.60
Draw20%fair 4.97 · @3.90
Sunderland60%fair 1.67 · @1.67
3.63Expected goals
1.31Lech Poznan xG
2.32Sunderland xG
64%Both score
70%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–29%
1–18%
1–37%
0–27%
0–16%
2–26%
From our goals model: Lech Poznan 1.3 – 2.3 Sunderland expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sunderland to win✗
60%
1.67
1.67
Double chance
Either team to win✗
80%
1.25
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
64%
1.55
1.75 ▲
Draw no bet
Sunderland (draw no bet)
75%
1.34
–
Asian handicap
Sunderland -0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
60%
1.66
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
88%
1.14
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
70%
1.42
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
51%
1.97
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
70%
1.43
–
First team to score
Sunderland to score first✓
62%
1.60
–
Half-time result
Sunderland ahead at half-time✓
46%
2.19
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Sunderland / FT Sunderland✗
39%
2.56
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
10.69
–
Recent results
Lech Poznan – last 6
WLWDWL
18 Oct
vs Korona Kielce
6–1
W
15 Oct
vs Bayer Leverkusen
0–4
L
10 Oct
@ Slask Wroclaw
4–1
W
3 Oct
vs Energie Cottbus
2–2
D
20 Sep
vs Radomiak Radom
5–1
W
17 Sep
@ Crystal Palace
0–4
L
2.8Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Sunderland – last 6
LWLLWL
18 Oct
@ Bournemouth
0–2
L
15 Oct
@ Torreense
2–1
W
10 Oct
vs Brighton
0–2
L
20 Sep
@ Manchester City
3–5
L
16 Sep
vs AZ Alkmaar
1–0
W
12 Sep
vs Arsenal
0–2
L
1.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Lech Poznan and Sunderland.
What is the prediction for Lech Poznan vs Sunderland?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.
Who will win Lech Poznan vs Sunderland?
On our numbers Lech Poznan have a 20% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Sunderland 60%.
How many goals will there be in Lech Poznan vs Sunderland?
We expect about 3.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 70% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Lech Poznan vs Sunderland?
Our predicted score is Lech Poznan 1–2 Sunderland, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.6 goals in total.
When is Lech Poznan vs Sunderland?
Lech Poznan vs Sunderland (UEFA Europa League) kicks off on Thursday 22 October 2026 at 17:45 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Miejski.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
