Dinamo Zagreb 62%Draw 22%NEC Nijmegen 16%Expected goals 1.46 – 0.54
62%
Betarazi pick
Dinamo Zagreb to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.61 · bookmaker 1.65 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.65Odds
Picks by market
ResultDinamo Zagreb to win ✗62% · @1.65
Double chanceDinamo Zagreb or draw ✗84% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓51% · @1.57
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗68% · fair 1.48
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.86
Dinamo Zagreb vs NEC Nijmegen: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Thursday 22 October the UEFA Europa League brings Dinamo Zagreb against NEC Nijmegen at Stadion Maksimir. Kick-off: 17:45 WAT. In the table, Dinamo Zagreb are 9th, upper half, on 7 points after 4 matches; NEC Nijmegen are 12th (upper half) with 7. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Dinamo Zagreb, last 5: WWLWW Their latest outing: 5–1 win over NK Slaven Belupo, away. The attack is flying at 2.3 goals per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
NEC Nijmegen, last 5: DDDDL Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Fortuna Sittard, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Momentum favours Dinamo Zagreb, collecting 2.2 points per game to 0.7 for NEC Nijmegen.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Dinamo Zagreb 1.5 xG, NEC Nijmegen 0.5 xG – a total near 2.0. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 68%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Dinamo Zagreb 62%, draw 22%, NEC Nijmegen 16%.
Lower-risk option: Dinamo Zagreb or draw (84%) at 1.18.
GG/NG: GG (51%) at 1.57.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Dinamo Zagreb to win (62%, odds 1.65 – longer than our fair 1.61, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Dinamo Zagreb 1–0 NEC Nijmegen. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Dinamo Zagreb62%fair 1.61 · @1.65
Draw22%fair 4.54 · @4.00
NEC Nijmegen16%fair 6.36 · @4.60
2.00Expected goals
1.46Dinamo Zagreb xG
0.54NEC Nijmegen xG
51%Both score
32%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–020%
2–014%
0–014%
1–111%
2–18%
0–17%
From our goals model: Dinamo Zagreb 1.5 – 0.5 NEC Nijmegen expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Dinamo Zagreb to win✗
62%
1.61
1.65
Double chance
Dinamo Zagreb or draw✗
84%
1.19
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
51%
1.96
1.57
Draw no bet
Dinamo Zagreb (draw no bet)✗
80%
1.25
–
Asian handicap
Dinamo Zagreb -0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
60%
1.67
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
59%
1.68
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
68%
1.48
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
86%
1.17
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
95%
1.06
–
First team to score
Dinamo Zagreb to score first
63%
1.58
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
48%
2.08
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Dinamo Zagreb / FT Dinamo Zagreb✗
36%
2.76
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
12.86
–
Recent results
Dinamo Zagreb – last 6
WWLWWD
18 Oct
@ NK Slaven Belupo
5–1
W
15 Oct
vs Anderlecht
1–0
W
10 Oct
@ HNK Hajduk Split
1–2
L
4 Oct
@ Vukovar
4–0
W
20 Sep
vs NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
3–2
W
16 Sep
@ Hapoel Beer Sheva
0–0
D
2.3Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
NEC Nijmegen – last 6
DDDDLL
18 Oct
vs Fortuna Sittard
2–2
D
15 Oct
vs Levski Sofia
1–1
D
10 Oct
@ Ajax
1–1
D
20 Sep
vs GO Ahead Eagles
1–1
D
17 Sep
@ Juventus
0–5
L
12 Sep
@ Cambuur
0–3
L
0.8Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Dinamo Zagreb and NEC Nijmegen.
What is the prediction for Dinamo Zagreb vs NEC Nijmegen?
Our pick is Dinamo Zagreb to win with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.65.
Who will win Dinamo Zagreb vs NEC Nijmegen?
On our numbers Dinamo Zagreb have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 22% and NEC Nijmegen 16%.
How many goals will there be in Dinamo Zagreb vs NEC Nijmegen?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 32% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Dinamo Zagreb vs NEC Nijmegen?
Our predicted score is Dinamo Zagreb 1–0 NEC Nijmegen, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Dinamo Zagreb vs NEC Nijmegen?
Dinamo Zagreb vs NEC Nijmegen (UEFA Europa League) kicks off on Thursday 22 October 2026 at 17:45 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Maksimir.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
