Double chanceUnion St. Gilloise or draw ✓89% · @1.07
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗50% · @1.75
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗68% · fair 1.48
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗7% · fair 14.75
Union St. Gilloise vs Hapoel Beer Sheva: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Union St. Gilloise welcome Hapoel Beer Sheva to Merkur Spielarena for a UEFA Europa League fixture on Thursday 22 October (17:45 WAT). In the table, Union St. Gilloise are 4th, among the top four, on 10 points after 4 matches; Hapoel Beer Sheva are 33rd (lower half) with 1.
Current form
Union St. Gilloise, last 5: WDDWW Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Nijlen, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 4. Scoring is no problem – 2.5 a game lately. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Hapoel Beer Sheva, last 5: WLWWD Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Hapoel Katamon, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Union St. Gilloise 1.6 xG, Hapoel Beer Sheva 0.4 xG – a total near 2.0. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 68%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Union St. Gilloise 71%, draw 17%, Hapoel Beer Sheva 11%.
GG/NG: GG (50%) at 1.75.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Union St. Gilloise to win (71%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Union St. Gilloise 1–0 Hapoel Beer Sheva. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Union St. Gilloise71%fair 1.40 · @1.30
Draw17%fair 5.85 · @5.00
Hapoel Beer Sheva11%fair 8.72 · @8.50
2.00Expected goals
1.62Union St. Gilloise xG
0.38Hapoel Beer Sheva xG
50%Both score
32%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–022%
2–018%
0–014%
3–010%
1–18%
2–17%
From our goals model: Union St. Gilloise 1.6 – 0.4 Hapoel Beer Sheva expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Union St. Gilloise to win✓
71%
1.40
1.30
Double chance
Union St. Gilloise or draw✓
89%
1.13
1.07
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
50%
1.99
1.75
Draw no bet
Union St. Gilloise (draw no bet)✓
86%
1.16
–
Asian handicap
Union St. Gilloise -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
68%
1.46
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
59%
1.68
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
68%
1.48
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
86%
1.17
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
95%
1.06
–
First team to score
Union St. Gilloise to score first✓
70%
1.43
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
47%
2.15
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Union St. Gilloise / FT Union St. Gilloise✓
43%
2.35
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
7%
14.75
–
Recent results
Union St. Gilloise – last 6
WDDWWW
18 Oct
vs Nijlen
3–0
W
15 Oct
vs Real Sociedad
1–1
D
11 Oct
vs OH Leuven
1–1
D
20 Sep
@ Antwerp
2–0
W
17 Sep
@ Plzen
3–0
W
12 Sep
vs Lommel United
5–0
W
2.5Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Hapoel Beer Sheva – last 6
WLWWDW
17 Oct
vs Hapoel Katamon
2–1
W
15 Oct
@ AZ Alkmaar
1–2
L
10 Oct
@ Ironi Tiberias
2–0
W
19 Sep
vs Ironi Kiryat Shmona
1–0
W
16 Sep
vs Dinamo Zagreb
0–0
D
13 Sep
@ Hapoel Petah Tikva
2–0
W
1.3Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Union St. Gilloise and Hapoel Beer Sheva.
What is the prediction for Union St. Gilloise vs Hapoel Beer Sheva?
Our pick is Union St. Gilloise to win with a 71% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Union St. Gilloise vs Hapoel Beer Sheva?
On our numbers Union St. Gilloise have a 71% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Hapoel Beer Sheva 11%.
How many goals will there be in Union St. Gilloise vs Hapoel Beer Sheva?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 32% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Union St. Gilloise vs Hapoel Beer Sheva?
Our predicted score is Union St. Gilloise 1–0 Hapoel Beer Sheva, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Union St. Gilloise vs Hapoel Beer Sheva?
Union St. Gilloise vs Hapoel Beer Sheva (UEFA Europa League) kicks off on Thursday 22 October 2026 at 17:45 (West Africa Time) at Merkur Spielarena.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
