AZ Alkmaar 22%Draw 22%Juventus 56%Expected goals 1.13 – 1.93
78%
Betarazi pick
Juventus or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.28 · bookmaker 1.30 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.30Odds
2
Value bet: Juventus to win @ 1.95 – our chance 56% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultJuventus to win ✓56% · @1.95
Double chanceJuventus or draw ✓78% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✓10% · fair 10.13
AZ Alkmaar vs Juventus: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
21:00 WAT, Thursday 5 November: AZ Alkmaar v Juventus in the UEFA Europa League, played at AFAS Stadion（Alkmaar）. In the table, AZ Alkmaar are 14th, upper half, on 6 points after 4 matches; Juventus are 5th (upper half) with 10.
Current form
AZ Alkmaar, last 5: LLWDW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Ajax, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Juventus, last 5: WLWDL Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Napoli, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Juventus, collecting 1.7 points per game to 1.2 for AZ Alkmaar.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give AZ Alkmaar 1.1 xG, Juventus 1.9 xG – a total near 3.1. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 56% and GG at 58%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – AZ Alkmaar 22%, draw 22%, Juventus 56%.
Lower-risk option: Juventus or draw (78%) at 1.30.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.67.
Price worth noting: Juventus to win @1.95 – the bookmaker implies 51%, our ratings say 56%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Juventus or draw (78%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: AZ Alkmaar 1–1 Juventus. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
AZ Alkmaar22%fair 4.60 · @3.60
Draw22%fair 4.47 · @3.75
Juventus56%fair 1.79 · @1.95
3.06Expected goals
1.13AZ Alkmaar xG
1.93Juventus xG
58%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–110%
1–210%
0–19%
0–29%
1–36%
2–16%
From our goals model: AZ Alkmaar 1.1 – 1.9 Juventus expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Juventus to win✓
56%
1.79
1.95 ▲
Double chance
Juventus or draw✓
78%
1.28
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
58%
1.72
1.67
Draw no bet
Juventus (draw no bet)✓
72%
1.39
–
Asian handicap
AZ Alkmaar +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
67%
1.49
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
79%
1.27
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
56%
1.79
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
66%
1.52
1.40
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
82%
1.22
1.14
First team to score
Juventus to score first✓
60%
1.66
–
Half-time result
Juventus ahead at half-time✓
42%
2.40
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Juventus / FT Juventus✓
35%
2.84
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✓
10%
10.13
–
Recent results
AZ Alkmaar – last 6
LLWDWL
31 Oct
@ Ajax
0–1
L
25 Oct
vs Twente
0–2
L
22 Oct
@ Ararat-Armenia
4–0
W
18 Oct
@ Cambuur
2–2
D
15 Oct
vs Hapoel Beer Sheva
2–1
W
10 Oct
@ Feyenoord
0–2
L
1.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Juventus – last 6
WLWDLW
1 Nov
vs Napoli
2–0
W
28 Oct
@ Genoa
0–2
L
25 Oct
@ Lecce
2–0
W
22 Oct
vs Rennes
2–2
D
18 Oct
vs Lazio
0–3
L
15 Oct
@ Celta Vigo
2–1
W
1.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between AZ Alkmaar and Juventus.
What is the prediction for AZ Alkmaar vs Juventus?
Our pick is Juventus or draw with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win AZ Alkmaar vs Juventus?
On our numbers AZ Alkmaar have a 22% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Juventus 56%.
How many goals will there be in AZ Alkmaar vs Juventus?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for AZ Alkmaar vs Juventus?
Our predicted score is AZ Alkmaar 1–1 Juventus, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is AZ Alkmaar vs Juventus?
AZ Alkmaar vs Juventus (UEFA Europa League) kicks off on Thursday 5 November 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time) at AFAS Stadion（Alkmaar）.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
