Sparta Praha 15%Draw 22%Bournemouth 62%Expected goals 0.93 – 2.05
63%
Betarazi pick
Under 3.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.59 · bookmaker 1.57 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.57Odds
Picks by market
ResultBournemouth to win ✓62% · @1.48
Double chanceBournemouth or draw ✓85% · @1.12
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.70
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.08
Sparta Praha vs Bournemouth: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Thursday 5 November the UEFA Europa League brings Sparta Praha against Bournemouth at Stadion Letná. Kick-off: 18:45 WAT. In the table, Sparta Praha are 22nd, lower half, on 4 points after 4 matches; Bournemouth are 2nd (among the top four) with 12.
Current form
Sparta Praha, last 5: DLWLD Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Bohemians 1905, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.
Bournemouth, last 5: WWWWW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Leeds, at home. The attack is flying at 2.7 goals per game. Defensively they have kept 6 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Bournemouth, collecting 3.0 points per game to 1.0 for Sparta Praha.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Sparta Praha 0.9 xG, Bournemouth 2.0 xG – a total near 3.0. That is an open game on paper: 59% for three or more goals, 59% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Sparta Praha 15%, draw 22%, Bournemouth 62%.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.70.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (63%, odds 1.57). Most likely score in line with that pick: Sparta Praha 0–2 Bournemouth. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Sparta Praha15%fair 6.50 · @6.50
Draw22%fair 4.51 · @4.50
Bournemouth62%fair 1.60 · @1.48
2.97Expected goals
0.93Sparta Praha xG
2.05Bournemouth xG
59%Both score
59%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–211%
0–110%
1–210%
1–110%
0–37%
1–37%
From our goals model: Sparta Praha 0.9 – 2.0 Bournemouth expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Bournemouth to win✓
62%
1.60
1.48
Double chance
Bournemouth or draw✓
85%
1.18
1.12
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
59%
1.70
1.70
Draw no bet
Bournemouth (draw no bet)✓
80%
1.25
–
Asian handicap
Bournemouth -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
63%
1.58
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
80%
1.24
1.17
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
59%
1.70
1.57
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
63%
1.59
1.57
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
1.22
First team to score
Bournemouth to score first✗
65%
1.53
–
Half-time result
Bournemouth ahead at half-time✗
46%
2.17
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Bournemouth / FT Bournemouth✗
41%
2.46
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.08
–
Recent results
Sparta Praha – last 6
DLWLDD
1 Nov
@ Bohemians 1905
0–0
D
28 Oct
vs Baník Ostrava
0–2
L
25 Oct
vs Slovácko
5–1
W
22 Oct
@ Olympiakos Piraeus
0–1
L
18 Oct
@ Baník Ostrava
0–0
D
15 Oct
vs Lillestrom
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Bournemouth – last 6
WWWWWW
31 Oct
vs Leeds
2–0
W
28 Oct
vs Aston Villa
3–0
W
25 Oct
@ Manchester United
3–0
W
22 Oct
vs AC Milan
3–0
W
18 Oct
vs Sunderland
2–0
W
15 Oct
vs Sturm Graz
3–0
W
2.7Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sparta Praha and Bournemouth.
What is the prediction for Sparta Praha vs Bournemouth?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.
Who will win Sparta Praha vs Bournemouth?
On our numbers Sparta Praha have a 15% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Bournemouth 62%.
How many goals will there be in Sparta Praha vs Bournemouth?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sparta Praha vs Bournemouth?
Our predicted score is Sparta Praha 0–2 Bournemouth, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Sparta Praha vs Bournemouth?
Sparta Praha vs Bournemouth (UEFA Europa League) kicks off on Thursday 5 November 2026 at 18:45 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Letná.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
