Lillestrom v Plzen Prediction & Expected Goals (5 Nov) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultPlzen to win ✓43% · @2.20

Double chanceEither team to win ✓80% · @1.25

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗65% · @1.50

GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗82% · @1.17

Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.49

Lillestrom vs Plzen: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Lillestrom welcome Plzen to Åråsen Stadion for a UEFA Europa League fixture on Thursday 5 November (18:45 WAT). In the table, Lillestrom are 34th, in the drop zone, on 1 points after 4 matches; Plzen are 30th (lower half) with 3. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Lillestrom, last 5: WWWLW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Start, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.

Plzen, last 5: WWLLW Their latest outing: 4–0 win over Baník Ostrava, away. Away from home the record reads 3 won, 1 lost from 4. 2.7 goals per outing makes them dangerous.

Momentum favours Lillestrom, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.5 for Plzen.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Lillestrom 1.5 xG, Plzen 1.6 xG – a total near 3.2. That is an open game on paper: 61% for three or more goals, 65% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Lillestrom 37%, draw 20%, Plzen 43%.
GG/NG: GG (65%) at 1.50.
Price worth noting: Lillestrom to win @2.88 – the bookmaker implies 35%, our ratings say 37%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (65%, odds 1.50). Most likely score in line with that pick: Lillestrom 1–1 Plzen. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Lillestrom37%fair 2.68 · @2.88

Draw20%fair 5.08 · @3.90

Plzen43%fair 2.33 · @2.20

3.16Expected goals

1.51Lillestrom xG

1.65Plzen xG

65%Both score

61%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–111%

1–29%

2–18%

0–17%

2–27%

1–06%

From our goals model: Lillestrom 1.5 – 1.6 Plzen expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Plzen to win ✓	43%	2.33	2.20
Double chance	Either team to win ✓	80%	1.25	1.25
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✗	65%	1.54	1.50
Draw no bet	Plzen (draw no bet) ✓	54%	1.87	–
Asian handicap	Lillestrom +1 (Asian handicap)	74%	1.35	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✗	82%	1.22	1.17
Over/under 2.5 goals	Over 2.5 goals ✗	61%	1.65	1.57
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✓	61%	1.65	1.57
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	78%	1.28	1.22
First team to score	Plzen to score first ✓	50%	2.01	–
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✗	38%	2.60	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Plzen / FT Plzen ✓	25%	4.08	–
Correct score	Correct score 1–2 ✗	9%	11.49	–

Lillestrom – last 6

WWWLWD

1 Nov	@ Start	1–0	W
28 Oct	vs Sogndal	2–1	W
25 Oct	vs Brann	3–2	W
22 Oct	vs Real Sociedad	0–6	L
18 Oct	@ Sandefjord	2–0	W
15 Oct	@ Sparta Praha	1–1	D

1.5Scored / game

1.7Conceded / game

50%Both scored

50%Over 2.5

Plzen – last 6

WWLLWL

1 Nov	@ Baník Ostrava	4–0	W
28 Oct	@ Vysočina Jihlava	6–1	W
25 Oct	vs Pardubice	1–2	L
22 Oct	vs Levski Sofia	1–2	L
18 Oct	@ FK Jablonec	3–2	W
15 Oct	@ Ferencvarosi TC	1–2	L

2.7Scored / game

1.5Conceded / game

83%Both scored

100%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Benfica	4	4	0	0	+10	12
2	Bournemouth	4	4	0	0	+9	12
3	Ferencvarosi TC	4	4	0	0	+8	12
4	Union St. Gilloise	4	3	1	0	+8	10
5	Juventus	4	3	1	0	+7	10
6	Olympiakos Piraeus	4	3	1	0	+3	10
7	Bayer Leverkusen	4	3	0	1	+7	9
8	Beşiktaş	4	2	1	1	+3	7
9	Dinamo Zagreb	4	2	1	1	+1	7
10	Levski Sofia	4	2	1	1	+1	7
11	Sunderland	4	2	1	1	0	7
12	NEC Nijmegen	4	2	1	1	-1	7
13	Lyon	4	2	1	1	-1	7
14	AZ Alkmaar	4	2	0	2	+3	6
15	Anderlecht	4	2	0	2	+3	6
16	OFI	4	2	0	2	+1	6
17	Rennes	4	1	3	0	+1	6
18	Omonia Nicosia	4	2	0	2	-1	6
19	Torreense	4	2	0	2	-2	6
20	Real Sociedad	4	1	2	1	+5	5
21	Crystal Palace	4	1	2	1	+3	5
22	Sparta Praha	4	1	1	2	0	4
23	1899 Hoffenheim	4	1	1	2	0	4
24	Sturm Graz	4	1	1	2	-3	4
25	Celje	4	1	1	2	-4	4
26	Red Bull Salzburg	4	1	1	2	-5	4
27	Celta Vigo	4	1	0	3	-2	3
28	AC Milan	4	1	0	3	-3	3
29	Jagiellonia	4	1	0	3	-3	3
30	Plzen	4	1	0	3	-4	3
31	Marseille	4	1	0	3	-4	3
32	Celtic	4	1	0	3	-5	3
33	Hapoel Beer Sheva	4	0	1	3	-7	1
34	Lillestrom	4	0	1	3	-8	1
35	Lech Poznan	4	0	1	3	-10	1
36	Ararat-Armenia	4	0	0	4	-10	0

Team

Pts

+10

-1

-1

-1

-2

-3

-4

-5

-2

-3

-3

-4

-4

-5

-7

-8

-10

-10

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Lillestrom vs Plzen?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.

Who will win Lillestrom vs Plzen?

On our numbers Lillestrom have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Plzen 43%.

How many goals will there be in Lillestrom vs Plzen?

We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 65% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Lillestrom vs Plzen?

Our predicted score is Lillestrom 1–1 Plzen, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.

When is Lillestrom vs Plzen?

Lillestrom vs Plzen (UEFA Europa League) kicks off on Thursday 5 November 2026 at 18:45 (West Africa Time) at Åråsen Stadion.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Lillestrom v Plzen: numbers & prediction