Value bet: Jagiellonia to win @ 3.70 – our chance 35% vs 27% implied by the price (edge +28%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultLevski Sofia to win ✓44% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗59% · @1.70
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗75% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.28
Levski Sofia vs Jagiellonia: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
18:45 WAT, Thursday 5 November: Levski Sofia v Jagiellonia in the UEFA Europa League, played at Vasil Levski National Stadium. In the table, Levski Sofia are 10th, upper half, on 7 points after 4 matches; Jagiellonia are 29th (lower half) with 3.
Current form
Levski Sofia, last 5: WDWWD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Dunav Ruse, away. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Jagiellonia, last 5: WWWLL Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Wieczysta Kraków, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.2 a game lately.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Levski Sofia 1.5 xG, Jagiellonia 1.3 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 51%, GG 59%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Levski Sofia 44%, draw 22%, Jagiellonia 35%.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.70.
Price worth noting: Jagiellonia to win @3.70 – the bookmaker implies 27%, our ratings say 35%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (75%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Levski Sofia 1–1 Jagiellonia. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Levski Sofia44%fair 2.28 · @2.00
Draw22%fair 4.65 · @3.50
Jagiellonia35%fair 2.89 · @3.70
2.74Expected goals
1.47Levski Sofia xG
1.27Jagiellonia xG
59%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–010%
2–19%
0–18%
1–28%
2–07%
From our goals model: Levski Sofia 1.5 – 1.3 Jagiellonia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Levski Sofia to win✓
44%
2.28
2.00
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.27
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
59%
1.69
1.70
Draw no bet
Levski Sofia (draw no bet)✓
56%
1.79
–
Asian handicap
Jagiellonia +1 (Asian handicap)
74%
1.35
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
75%
1.33
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
51%
1.97
1.91
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
70%
1.42
1.36
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
85%
1.18
1.12
First team to score
Levski Sofia to score first✓
50%
1.99
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
42%
2.39
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Levski Sofia / FT Levski Sofia✗
25%
4.05
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.28
–
Recent results
Levski Sofia – last 6
WDWWDW
31 Oct
@ Dunav Ruse
1–0
W
27 Oct
@ Arda Kardzhali
1–1
D
22 Oct
@ Plzen
2–1
W
18 Oct
@ Spartak Pleven
2–0
W
15 Oct
@ NEC Nijmegen
1–1
D
11 Oct
@ Cherno More Varna
2–0
W
1.5Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Jagiellonia – last 6
WWWLLW
31 Oct
@ Wieczysta Kraków
3–1
W
28 Oct
@ Lechia Gdansk
6–0
W
25 Oct
vs Wisla Plock
1–0
W
22 Oct
vs Anderlecht
0–3
L
18 Oct
@ Zaglebie Lubin
0–1
L
15 Oct
vs Ararat-Armenia
3–1
W
2.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Levski Sofia and Jagiellonia.
What is the prediction for Levski Sofia vs Jagiellonia?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Levski Sofia vs Jagiellonia?
On our numbers Levski Sofia have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Jagiellonia 35%.
How many goals will there be in Levski Sofia vs Jagiellonia?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Levski Sofia vs Jagiellonia?
Our predicted score is Levski Sofia 1–1 Jagiellonia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Levski Sofia vs Jagiellonia?
Levski Sofia vs Jagiellonia (UEFA Europa League) kicks off on Thursday 5 November 2026 at 18:45 (West Africa Time) at Vasil Levski National Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
