Real Sociedad 64%Draw 22%Lyon 14%Expected goals 2.35 – 1.08
64%
Betarazi pick
Real Sociedad to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.57 · bookmaker 1.65 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.65Odds
Picks by market
ResultReal Sociedad to win ✗64% · @1.65
Double chanceReal Sociedad or draw ✓86% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓63% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓83% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.36
Real Sociedad vs Lyon: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Lyon travel to face Real Sociedad on Thursday 5 November in the UEFA Europa League, with Anoeta Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 18:45 WAT. In the table, Real Sociedad are 20th, lower half, on 5 points after 4 matches; Lyon are 13th (upper half) with 7. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Real Sociedad, last 5: LWWWD Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Athletic Club, away. Scoring is no problem – 3.0 a game lately.
Lyon, last 5: WLLWW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Angers, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Real Sociedad, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.5 for Lyon.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Real Sociedad 2.4 xG, Lyon 1.1 xG – a total near 3.4. That is an open game on paper: 64% for three or more goals, 63% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Real Sociedad 64%, draw 22%, Lyon 14%.
Lower-risk option: Real Sociedad or draw (86%) at 1.18.
GG/NG: GG (63%) at 1.57.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Real Sociedad to win (64%, odds 1.65 – longer than our fair 1.57, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Real Sociedad 2–1 Lyon. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Real Sociedad64%fair 1.57 · @1.65
Draw22%fair 4.45 · @4.10
Lyon14%fair 7.20 · @4.75
3.44Expected goals
2.35Real Sociedad xG
1.08Lyon xG
63%Both score
64%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–110%
2–09%
1–18%
1–08%
3–18%
3–07%
From our goals model: Real Sociedad 2.4 – 1.1 Lyon expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Real Sociedad to win✗
64%
1.57
1.65 ▲
Double chance
Real Sociedad or draw✓
86%
1.16
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
63%
1.58
1.57
Draw no bet
Real Sociedad (draw no bet)
82%
1.22
–
Asian handicap
Real Sociedad -0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
66%
1.52
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
83%
1.20
1.17
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
64%
1.55
1.53
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
57%
1.76
1.62
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
1.25
First team to score
Real Sociedad to score first✓
66%
1.51
–
Half-time result
Real Sociedad ahead at half-time✓
49%
2.04
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Real Sociedad / FT Real Sociedad✗
43%
2.31
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.36
–
Recent results
Real Sociedad – last 6
LWWWDW
1 Nov
@ Athletic Club
1–2
L
25 Oct
vs Levante
2–1
W
22 Oct
@ Lillestrom
6–0
W
18 Oct
@ Malaga
5–2
W
15 Oct
@ Union St. Gilloise
1–1
D
11 Oct
vs Deportivo La Coruna
3–2
W
3.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Lyon – last 6
WLLWWL
31 Oct
vs Angers
2–0
W
26 Oct
@ Paris Saint Germain
0–2
L
22 Oct
@ 1899 Hoffenheim
0–3
L
18 Oct
vs Nice
2–1
W
15 Oct
vs Crystal Palace
3–2
W
9 Oct
@ Lens
1–2
L
1.3Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Real Sociedad and Lyon.
Our pick is Real Sociedad to win with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.65.
Who will win Real Sociedad vs Lyon?
On our numbers Real Sociedad have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Lyon 14%.
How many goals will there be in Real Sociedad vs Lyon?
We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 64% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Real Sociedad vs Lyon?
Our predicted score is Real Sociedad 2–1 Lyon, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.
When is Real Sociedad vs Lyon?
Real Sociedad vs Lyon (UEFA Europa League) kicks off on Thursday 5 November 2026 at 18:45 (West Africa Time) at Anoeta Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
