Good pick · fair odds 1.47 · bookmaker 1.30 · Lost ✗
7/10Rating
1.30Odds
Picks by market
ResultBayer Leverkusen to win ✗68% · @1.30
Double chanceBayer Leverkusen or draw ✗88% · @1.08
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗58% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗82% · @1.12
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.32
Bayer Leverkusen vs Marseille: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Bayer Leverkusen welcome Marseille to BayArena for a UEFA Europa League fixture on Thursday 5 November (21:00 WAT). In the table, Bayer Leverkusen are 7th, upper half, on 9 points after 4 matches; Marseille are 31st (lower half) with 3.
Current form
Bayer Leverkusen, last 5: LWLWW Their latest outing: 2–4 defeat to VfB Stuttgart, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.5 a game lately.
Marseille, last 5: WWLWL Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Toulouse, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.2 a game lately.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Bayer Leverkusen 2.2 xG, Marseille 0.8 xG – a total near 3.0. That is an open game on paper: 63% for three or more goals, 58% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Bayer Leverkusen 68%, draw 20%, Marseille 12%.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.67.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Bayer Leverkusen to win (68%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Bayer Leverkusen 2–0 Marseille. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Bayer Leverkusen68%fair 1.47 · @1.30
Draw20%fair 4.93 · @6.00
Marseille12%fair 8.40 · @8.00
3.01Expected goals
2.19Bayer Leverkusen xG
0.82Marseille xG
58%Both score
63%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–012%
1–011%
2–110%
1–19%
3–09%
3–17%
From our goals model: Bayer Leverkusen 2.2 – 0.8 Marseille expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Bayer Leverkusen to win✗
68%
1.47
1.30
Double chance
Bayer Leverkusen or draw✗
88%
1.14
1.08
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
58%
1.73
1.67
Draw no bet
Bayer Leverkusen (draw no bet)✗
85%
1.18
–
Asian handicap
Bayer Leverkusen -0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
69%
1.46
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
82%
1.22
1.12
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
63%
1.59
1.40
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
59%
1.71
1.80 ▲
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
1.33
First team to score
Bayer Leverkusen to score first✗
69%
1.45
–
Half-time result
Bayer Leverkusen ahead at half-time✗
50%
2.01
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Bayer Leverkusen / FT Bayer Leverkusen✗
45%
2.22
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.32
–
Recent results
Bayer Leverkusen – last 6
LWLWWW
31 Oct
vs VfB Stuttgart
2–4
L
28 Oct
vs 1. FC Nürnberg
5–2
W
25 Oct
@ 1899 Hoffenheim
0–3
L
22 Oct
@ OFI
2–0
W
18 Oct
vs SC Freiburg
2–1
W
15 Oct
@ Lech Poznan
4–0
W
2.5Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Marseille – last 6
WWLWLW
1 Nov
vs Toulouse
2–0
W
25 Oct
vs Le Havre
4–3
W
22 Oct
@ Sturm Graz
0–1
L
18 Oct
@ Angers
5–2
W
15 Oct
vs Olympiakos Piraeus
0–1
L
11 Oct
@ Estac Troyes
2–0
W
2.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Bayer Leverkusen and Marseille.
What is the prediction for Bayer Leverkusen vs Marseille?
Our pick is Bayer Leverkusen to win with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Bayer Leverkusen vs Marseille?
On our numbers Bayer Leverkusen have a 68% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Marseille 12%.
How many goals will there be in Bayer Leverkusen vs Marseille?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Bayer Leverkusen vs Marseille?
Our predicted score is Bayer Leverkusen 2–0 Marseille, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Bayer Leverkusen vs Marseille?
Bayer Leverkusen vs Marseille (UEFA Europa League) kicks off on Thursday 5 November 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time) at BayArena.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
