Value bet: Union St. Gilloise to win @ 3.00 – our chance 43% vs 33% implied by the price (edge +28%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultUnion St. Gilloise to win ✓43% · @3.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓62% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✓9% · fair 11.40
Celta Vigo vs Union St. Gilloise: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Thursday 5 November the UEFA Europa League brings Celta Vigo against Union St. Gilloise at Municipal de Balaídos. Kick-off: 21:00 WAT. In the table, Celta Vigo are 27th, lower half, on 3 points after 4 matches; Union St. Gilloise are 4th (among the top four) with 10.
Current form
Celta Vigo, last 5: LDWWL Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Rayo Vallecano, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Union St. Gilloise, last 5: WWWWD Their latest outing: 2–1 win over SK Beveren, away. Scoring is no problem – 2.7 a game lately.
Momentum favours Union St. Gilloise, collecting 2.3 points per game to 1.3 for Celta Vigo.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Celta Vigo 1.3 xG, Union St. Gilloise 1.4 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 52%, GG 62%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Celta Vigo 35%, draw 22%, Union St. Gilloise 43%.
GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.67.
Price worth noting: Union St. Gilloise to win @3.00 – the bookmaker implies 33%, our ratings say 43%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (76%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Celta Vigo 1–1 Union St. Gilloise. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Celta Vigo35%fair 2.86 · @2.30
Draw22%fair 4.47 · @3.40
Union St. Gilloise43%fair 2.34 · @3.00
2.73Expected goals
1.28Celta Vigo xG
1.45Union St. Gilloise xG
62%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
0–19%
1–29%
1–08%
2–18%
0–27%
From our goals model: Celta Vigo 1.3 – 1.4 Union St. Gilloise expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Union St. Gilloise to win✓
43%
2.34
3.00 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.29
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
62%
1.61
1.67
Draw no bet
Union St. Gilloise (draw no bet)✓
55%
1.82
–
Asian handicap
Celta Vigo +1 (Asian handicap)
75%
1.33
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
52%
1.92
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
70%
1.44
1.40
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
84%
1.19
1.14
First team to score
Union St. Gilloise to score first
50%
2.01
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
42%
2.38
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Union St. Gilloise / FT Union St. Gilloise✗
24%
4.14
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✓
9%
11.40
–
Recent results
Celta Vigo – last 6
LDWWLD
31 Oct
@ Rayo Vallecano
0–3
L
25 Oct
vs Real Betis
0–0
D
22 Oct
@ Celtic
2–1
W
18 Oct
vs Alaves
2–1
W
15 Oct
vs Juventus
1–2
L
11 Oct
@ Elche
0–0
D
0.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Union St. Gilloise – last 6
WWWWDD
31 Oct
@ SK Beveren
2–1
W
25 Oct
vs Cercle Brugge
5–2
W
22 Oct
vs Hapoel Beer Sheva
4–0
W
18 Oct
vs Nijlen
3–0
W
15 Oct
vs Real Sociedad
1–1
D
11 Oct
vs OH Leuven
1–1
D
2.7Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Celta Vigo and Union St. Gilloise.
What is the prediction for Celta Vigo vs Union St. Gilloise?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Celta Vigo vs Union St. Gilloise?
On our numbers Celta Vigo have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Union St. Gilloise 43%.
How many goals will there be in Celta Vigo vs Union St. Gilloise?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Celta Vigo vs Union St. Gilloise?
Our predicted score is Celta Vigo 1–1 Union St. Gilloise, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Celta Vigo vs Union St. Gilloise?
Celta Vigo vs Union St. Gilloise (UEFA Europa League) kicks off on Thursday 5 November 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time) at Municipal de Balaídos.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
