Celtic v Beşiktaş Prediction & Expected Goals (5 Nov) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultBeşiktaş to win ✗51% · @2.20

Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.28

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓64% · @1.44

GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81% · @1.17

Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.49

Celtic vs Beşiktaş: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

21:00 WAT, Thursday 5 November: Celtic v Beşiktaş in the UEFA Europa League, played at Celtic Park. In the table, Celtic are 32nd, lower half, on 3 points after 4 matches; Beşiktaş are 8th (upper half) with 7.

Current form

Celtic, last 5: LDWLW Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Falkirk, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.2 goals per game.

Beşiktaş, last 5: DWDLW Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Kasımpaşa, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Beşiktaş, collecting 1.8 points per game to 1.2 for Celtic.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Celtic 1.3 xG, Beşiktaş 1.8 xG – a total near 3.1. That is an open game on paper: 61% for three or more goals, 64% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Celtic 28%, draw 21%, Beşiktaş 51%.
GG/NG: GG (64%) at 1.44.
Price worth noting: Beşiktaş to win @2.20 – the bookmaker implies 45%, our ratings say 51%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (61%, odds 1.62). Most likely score in line with that pick: Celtic 1–1 Beşiktaş. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Celtic28%fair 3.51 · @3.00

Draw21%fair 4.80 · @3.70

Beşiktaş51%fair 1.97 · @2.20

3.06Expected goals

1.27Celtic xG

1.79Beşiktaş xG

64%Both score

61%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–111%

1–210%

0–18%

0–27%

2–17%

2–26%

From our goals model: Celtic 1.3 – 1.8 Beşiktaş expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Beşiktaş to win ✗	51%	1.97	2.20 ▲
Double chance	Either team to win ✓	79%	1.26	1.28
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✓	64%	1.57	1.44
Draw no bet	Beşiktaş (draw no bet) ✗	64%	1.56	–
Asian handicap	Celtic +1 (Asian handicap) ✓	65%	1.54	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	81%	1.23	1.17
Over/under 2.5 goals	Over 2.5 goals ✓	61%	1.65	1.53
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✗	61%	1.64	1.62
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✗	78%	1.28	1.25
First team to score	Beşiktaş to score first	56%	1.80	–
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✓	39%	2.58	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Beşiktaş / FT Beşiktaş ✗	30%	3.30	–
Correct score	Correct score 1–2 ✗	10%	10.49	–

Celtic – last 6

LDWLWL

1 Nov	@ Falkirk	0–2	L
28 Oct	vs Dundee Utd	2–2	D
25 Oct	@ Hibernian	2–1	W
22 Oct	vs Celta Vigo	1–2	L
18 Oct	vs Heart Of Midlothian	7–1	W
15 Oct	@ Benfica	1–4	L

2.2Scored / game

2.0Conceded / game

83%Both scored

83%Over 2.5

Beşiktaş – last 6

DWDLWW

1 Nov	@ Kasımpaşa	2–2	D
26 Oct	vs Başakşehir	2–0	W
22 Oct	vs Crystal Palace	2–2	D
19 Oct	@ Trabzonspor	0–2	L
15 Oct	@ 1899 Hoffenheim	3–2	W
11 Oct	vs Kocaelispor	2–1	W

1.8Scored / game

1.5Conceded / game

67%Both scored

67%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Benfica	4	4	0	0	+10	12
2	Bournemouth	4	4	0	0	+9	12
3	Ferencvarosi TC	4	4	0	0	+8	12
4	Union St. Gilloise	4	3	1	0	+8	10
5	Juventus	4	3	1	0	+7	10
6	Olympiakos Piraeus	4	3	1	0	+3	10
7	Bayer Leverkusen	4	3	0	1	+7	9
8	Beşiktaş	4	2	1	1	+3	7
9	Dinamo Zagreb	4	2	1	1	+1	7
10	Levski Sofia	4	2	1	1	+1	7
11	Sunderland	4	2	1	1	0	7
12	NEC Nijmegen	4	2	1	1	-1	7
13	Lyon	4	2	1	1	-1	7
14	AZ Alkmaar	4	2	0	2	+3	6
15	Anderlecht	4	2	0	2	+3	6
16	OFI	4	2	0	2	+1	6
17	Rennes	4	1	3	0	+1	6
18	Omonia Nicosia	4	2	0	2	-1	6
19	Torreense	4	2	0	2	-2	6
20	Real Sociedad	4	1	2	1	+5	5
21	Crystal Palace	4	1	2	1	+3	5
22	Sparta Praha	4	1	1	2	0	4
23	1899 Hoffenheim	4	1	1	2	0	4
24	Sturm Graz	4	1	1	2	-3	4
25	Celje	4	1	1	2	-4	4
26	Red Bull Salzburg	4	1	1	2	-5	4
27	Celta Vigo	4	1	0	3	-2	3
28	AC Milan	4	1	0	3	-3	3
29	Jagiellonia	4	1	0	3	-3	3
30	Plzen	4	1	0	3	-4	3
31	Marseille	4	1	0	3	-4	3
32	Celtic	4	1	0	3	-5	3
33	Hapoel Beer Sheva	4	0	1	3	-7	1
34	Lillestrom	4	0	1	3	-8	1
35	Lech Poznan	4	0	1	3	-10	1
36	Ararat-Armenia	4	0	0	4	-10	0

Team

Pts

+10

-1

-1

-1

-2

-3

-4

-5

-2

-3

-3

-4

-4

-5

-7

-8

-10

-10

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Celtic vs Beşiktaş?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.

Who will win Celtic vs Beşiktaş?

On our numbers Celtic have a 28% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Beşiktaş 51%.

How many goals will there be in Celtic vs Beşiktaş?

We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Celtic vs Beşiktaş?

Our predicted score is Celtic 1–1 Beşiktaş, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.

When is Celtic vs Beşiktaş?

Celtic vs Beşiktaş (UEFA Europa League) kicks off on Thursday 5 November 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time) at Celtic Park.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Celtic v Beşiktaş: numbers & prediction