Crystal Palace 67%Draw 21%Lech Poznan 12%Expected goals 2.91 – 1.34
66%
Betarazi pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.52 · bookmaker 1.80 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.80Odds
Picks by market
ResultCrystal Palace to win ✓67% · @1.36
Double chanceCrystal Palace or draw ✓88% · @1.10
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗66% · @1.80
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.26
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.36
Crystal Palace vs Lech Poznan: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Thursday 17 September the UEFA Europa League brings Crystal Palace against Lech Poznan at Selhurst Park. Kick-off: 20:00 WAT. In the table, Crystal Palace are 21st, lower half, on 5 points after 4 matches; Lech Poznan are 35th (in the drop zone) with 1.
Current form
Crystal Palace, last 5: LWWLL Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to Ipswich, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 2.3 conceded per game.
Lech Poznan, last 5: LWWWD Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Gornik Zabrze, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.7 goals per game.
Momentum favours Lech Poznan, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.0 for Crystal Palace.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Crystal Palace 2.9 xG, Lech Poznan 1.3 xG – a total near 4.3. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 80% and GG at 66%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Crystal Palace 67%, draw 21%, Lech Poznan 12%.
GG/NG: GG (66%) at 1.80.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (66%, odds 1.80 – longer than our fair 1.52, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Crystal Palace 2–1 Lech Poznan. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Crystal Palace67%fair 1.50 · @1.36
Draw21%fair 4.70 · @4.80
Lech Poznan12%fair 8.36 · @7.00
4.25Expected goals
2.91Crystal Palace xG
1.34Lech Poznan xG
66%Both score
80%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–18%
3–18%
2–06%
3–06%
4–16%
1–16%
From our goals model: Crystal Palace 2.9 – 1.3 Lech Poznan expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Crystal Palace to win✓
67%
1.50
1.36
Double chance
Crystal Palace or draw✓
88%
1.14
1.10
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
66%
1.52
1.80 ▲
Draw no bet
Crystal Palace (draw no bet)✓
85%
1.18
–
Asian handicap
Crystal Palace -1 (Asian handicap)✓
62%
1.61
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
93%
1.08
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
80%
1.26
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✓
61%
1.63
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
58%
1.72
–
First team to score
Crystal Palace to score first✓
68%
1.48
–
Half-time result
Crystal Palace ahead at half-time✓
53%
1.87
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Crystal Palace / FT Crystal Palace✓
48%
2.10
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
12.36
–
Recent results
Crystal Palace – last 6
LWWLLL
12 Sep
vs Ipswich
2–3
L
8 Sep
vs Middlesbrough
3–0
W
5 Sep
@ Fulham
3–2
W
28 Aug
vs Manchester City
1–4
L
22 Aug
@ Everton
0–2
L
15 Aug
@ SC Freiburg
0–3
L
1.5Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Lech Poznan – last 6
LWWWDW
12 Sep
@ Gornik Zabrze
1–2
L
6 Sep
vs Raków Częstochowa
1–0
W
3 Sep
vs Jagiellonia
2–1
W
30 Aug
@ Widzew Łódź
3–2
W
27 Aug
@ FC Thun
2–2
D
20 Aug
vs FC Thun
7–0
W
2.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Crystal Palace and Lech Poznan.
What is the prediction for Crystal Palace vs Lech Poznan?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.80.
Who will win Crystal Palace vs Lech Poznan?
On our numbers Crystal Palace have a 67% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Lech Poznan 12%.
How many goals will there be in Crystal Palace vs Lech Poznan?
We expect about 4.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 80% likely and both teams score 66% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Crystal Palace vs Lech Poznan?
Our predicted score is Crystal Palace 2–1 Lech Poznan, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.3 goals in total.
When is Crystal Palace vs Lech Poznan?
Crystal Palace vs Lech Poznan (UEFA Europa League) kicks off on Thursday 17 September 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Selhurst Park.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
