Very strong pick · fair odds 1.28 · bookmaker 1.40 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.40Odds
X
Value bet: Draw @ 3.40 – our chance 51% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +75%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultDraw ✗51% · @3.40
Double chanceRed Bull Salzburg or draw ✓78% · @1.40
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗62% · @1.55
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–2 ✗6% · fair 17.57
Levski Sofia vs Red Bull Salzburg: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Thursday 17 September the UEFA Europa League brings Levski Sofia against Red Bull Salzburg at National Stadium Vasil Levski. Kick-off: 17:45 WAT. In the table, Levski Sofia are 10th, upper half, on 7 points after 4 matches; Red Bull Salzburg are 26th (lower half) with 4. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Levski Sofia, last 5: DLWWW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Botev Vratsa, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Red Bull Salzburg, last 5: DWWWW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Ried, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.8 goals per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Red Bull Salzburg, collecting 2.7 points per game to 1.7 for Levski Sofia.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Levski Sofia 1.3 xG, Red Bull Salzburg 1.4 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 52%, GG 62%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Levski Sofia 22%, draw 51%, Red Bull Salzburg 27%.
Lower-risk option: Red Bull Salzburg or draw (78%) at 1.40.
GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.55.
Price worth noting: Draw @3.40 – the bookmaker implies 29%, our ratings say 51%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Red Bull Salzburg or draw (78%, odds 1.40 – longer than our fair 1.28, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Levski Sofia 1–1 Red Bull Salzburg. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Levski Sofia22%fair 4.63 · @2.90
Draw51%fair 1.95 · @3.40
Red Bull Salzburg27%fair 3.70 · @2.30
2.75Expected goals
1.32Levski Sofia xG
1.43Red Bull Salzburg xG
62%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
0–19%
1–29%
1–08%
2–18%
0–27%
From our goals model: Levski Sofia 1.3 – 1.4 Red Bull Salzburg expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Draw✗
51%
1.95
3.40 ▲
Double chance
Red Bull Salzburg or draw✓
78%
1.28
1.40 ▲
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
62%
1.62
1.55
Draw no bet
Red Bull Salzburg (draw no bet)✓
56%
1.80
–
Asian handicap
Levski Sofia +0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
60%
1.67
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
76%
1.32
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
52%
1.93
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
70%
1.42
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
86%
1.17
–
First team to score
Red Bull Salzburg to score first✓
49%
2.05
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
42%
2.39
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Red Bull Salzburg / FT Red Bull Salzburg✓
23%
4.27
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–2✗
6%
17.57
–
Recent results
Levski Sofia – last 6
DLWWWL
13 Sep
@ Botev Vratsa
0–0
D
9 Sep
vs CSKA Sofia
2–4
L
5 Sep
vs CSKA 1948
1–0
W
2 Sep
@ Slavia Sofia
2–1
W
30 Aug
@ Botev Plovdiv
3–1
W
26 Aug
@ AEK Athens FC
0–4
L
1.3Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Red Bull Salzburg – last 6
DWWWWW
11 Sep
@ Ried
1–1
D
6 Sep
@ SKN ST. Polten
3–0
W
2 Sep
vs Rapid Vienna
5–1
W
30 Aug
vs Austria Vienna
4–1
W
27 Aug
vs Mjallby AIF
3–0
W
20 Aug
@ Mjallby AIF
1–0
W
2.8Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Levski Sofia and Red Bull Salzburg.
What is the prediction for Levski Sofia vs Red Bull Salzburg?
Our pick is Red Bull Salzburg or draw with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Levski Sofia vs Red Bull Salzburg?
On our numbers Levski Sofia have a 22% chance of winning, the draw 51% and Red Bull Salzburg 27%.
How many goals will there be in Levski Sofia vs Red Bull Salzburg?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Levski Sofia vs Red Bull Salzburg?
Our predicted score is Levski Sofia 1–1 Red Bull Salzburg, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Levski Sofia vs Red Bull Salzburg?
Levski Sofia vs Red Bull Salzburg (UEFA Europa League) kicks off on Thursday 17 September 2026 at 17:45 (West Africa Time) at National Stadium Vasil Levski.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
