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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Lillestrom v Torreense: numbers & prediction

1–2
FT
Lillestrom 65%Draw 21%Torreense 14% Expected goals 1.21 – 0.29
65%
Betarazi pick

Lillestrom to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.54 · bookmaker 1.53 · Lost ✗

6/10Rating
1.53Odds
NG

Value bet: Not both teams to score @ 2.05 – our chance 52% vs 49% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultLillestrom to win ✗65% · @1.53
Double chanceLillestrom or draw ✗86% · @1.15
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗52% · @2.05
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗81% · fair 1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗27% · fair 3.71

Lillestrom vs Torreense: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Thursday 17 September the UEFA Europa League brings Lillestrom against Torreense. Kick-off: 20:00 WAT. In the table, Lillestrom are 34th, in the drop zone, on 1 points after 4 matches; Torreense are 19th (lower half) with 6.

Current form

Lillestrom, last 5: WWWLD Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Valerenga, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Torreense, last 5: DWLDD Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Leixoes, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Lillestrom, collecting 1.8 points per game to 1.0 for Torreense.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Lillestrom 1.2 xG, Torreense 0.3 xG – a total near 1.5. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 81%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Lillestrom 65%, draw 21%, Torreense 14%.
  • Lower-risk option: Lillestrom or draw (86%) at 1.15.
  • GG/NG: NG (52%) at 2.05.
  • Price worth noting: Not both teams to score @2.05 – the bookmaker implies 49%, our ratings say 52%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Lillestrom to win (65%, odds 1.53). Most likely score in line with that pick: Lillestrom 1–0 Torreense. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Lillestrom65%fair 1.54 · @1.53
Draw21%fair 4.70 · @4.33
Torreense14%fair 7.29 · @5.50
1.50Expected goals
1.21Lillestrom xG
0.29Torreense xG
48%Both score
19%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–027%
0–022%
2–016%
1–18%
3–07%
0–17%

From our goals model: Lillestrom 1.2 – 0.3 Torreense expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultLillestrom to win ✗65%1.541.53
Double chanceLillestrom or draw ✗86%1.161.15
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✗52%1.932.05 ▲
Draw no betLillestrom (draw no bet) ✗83%1.21–
Asian handicapLillestrom -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗60%1.66–
Over/under 1.5 goalsUnder 1.5 goals ✗56%1.79–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗81%1.24–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓93%1.07–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓98%1.02–
First team to scoreLillestrom to score first ✗63%1.60–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗55%1.81–
Half-time / full-timeHT Lillestrom / FT Lillestrom ✗35%2.85–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗27%3.71–

Recent results

Lillestrom – last 6

WWWLDD
12 Sepvs Valerenga2–0W
5 Sep@ Brann2–1W
2 Sep@ Aurskog Finstadbru3–0W
30 Augvs Fredrikstad1–4L
27 Augvs Egnatia Rrogozhinë1–1D
20 Aug@ Egnatia Rrogozhinë0–0D
1.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Torreense – last 6

DWLDDL
11 Sepvs Leixoes0–0D
5 Sep@ Benfica B2–0W
29 Augvs Vizela0–3L
22 Aug@ Lusitânia Lourosa2–2D
15 Augvs Penafiel2–2D
9 Aug@ Farense1–2L
1.2Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Lillestrom and Torreense.

Lillestrom vs Torreense head-to-head page →

UEFA Europa League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Benfica4400+1012
2Bournemouth4400+912
3Ferencvarosi TC4400+812
4Union St. Gilloise4310+810
5Juventus4310+710
6Olympiakos Piraeus4310+310
7Bayer Leverkusen4301+79
8Beşiktaş4211+37
9Dinamo Zagreb4211+17
10Levski Sofia4211+17
11Sunderland421107
12NEC Nijmegen4211-17
13Lyon4211-17
14AZ Alkmaar4202+36
15Anderlecht4202+36
16OFI4202+16
17Rennes4130+16
18Omonia Nicosia4202-16
19Torreense4202-26
20Real Sociedad4121+55
21Crystal Palace4121+35
22Sparta Praha411204
231899 Hoffenheim411204
24Sturm Graz4112-34
25Celje4112-44
26Red Bull Salzburg4112-54
27Celta Vigo4103-23
28AC Milan4103-33
29Jagiellonia4103-33
30Plzen4103-43
31Marseille4103-43
32Celtic4103-53
33Hapoel Beer Sheva4013-71
34Lillestrom4013-81
35Lech Poznan4013-101
36Ararat-Armenia4004-100

More UEFA Europa League predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Lillestrom vs Torreense?

Our pick is Lillestrom to win with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.

Who will win Lillestrom vs Torreense?

On our numbers Lillestrom have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Torreense 14%.

How many goals will there be in Lillestrom vs Torreense?

We expect about 1.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 19% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Lillestrom vs Torreense?

Our predicted score is Lillestrom 1–0 Torreense, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.5 goals in total.

When is Lillestrom vs Torreense?

Lillestrom vs Torreense (UEFA Europa League) kicks off on Thursday 17 September 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.