Very strong pick · fair odds 1.18 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.25Odds
2
Value bet: SC Braga to win @ 1.95 – our chance 62% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +22%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultSC Braga to win ✗62% · @1.95
Double chanceSC Braga or draw ✓84% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗53% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · @1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.01
Aarhus vs SC Braga: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
18:45 WAT, Thursday 5 November: Aarhus v SC Braga in the UEFA Europa Conference League, played at Cepheus Park. In the table, Aarhus are 24th, lower half, on 2 points after 3 matches; SC Braga are 17th (upper half) with 4. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Aarhus, last 5: LWWDD Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Brondby, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
SC Braga, last 5: WDLWL Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Famalicao, at home. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Aarhus 0.6 xG, SC Braga 1.5 xG – a total near 2.1. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 57%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Aarhus 16%, draw 22%, SC Braga 62%.
Lower-risk option: SC Braga or draw (84%) at 1.25.
GG/NG: GG (53%) at 1.80.
Price worth noting: SC Braga to win @1.95 – the bookmaker implies 51%, our ratings say 62%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was SC Braga or draw (84%, odds 1.25 – longer than our fair 1.18, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Aarhus 0–1 SC Braga. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Aarhus16%fair 6.43 · @3.80
Draw22%fair 4.54 · @3.50
SC Braga62%fair 1.60 · @1.95
2.14Expected goals
0.59Aarhus xG
1.55SC Braga xG
53%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–118%
0–214%
0–012%
1–111%
1–28%
0–37%
From our goals model: Aarhus 0.6 – 1.5 SC Braga expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
SC Braga to win✗
62%
1.60
1.95 ▲
Double chance
SC Braga or draw✓
84%
1.18
1.25 ▲
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
53%
1.89
1.80
Draw no bet
SC Braga (draw no bet)
80%
1.25
–
Asian handicap
SC Braga -0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
61%
1.64
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
68%
1.47
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
57%
1.75
1.90 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
1.33
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
89%
1.12
1.11
First team to score
SC Braga to score first✗
64%
1.56
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
46%
2.16
–
Half-time / full-time
HT SC Braga / FT SC Braga✗
37%
2.69
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
12.01
–
Recent results
Aarhus – last 6
LWWDDL
1 Nov
@ Brondby
0–2
L
28 Oct
@ Roskilde
2–1
W
25 Oct
vs Viborg
2–1
W
22 Oct
vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë
1–1
D
18 Oct
@ FC Copenhagen
1–1
D
15 Oct
@ Gent
0–1
L
1.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
SC Braga – last 6
WDLWLL
1 Nov
vs Famalicao
3–0
W
29 Oct
vs Famalicao
2–2
D
25 Oct
@ Nacional
0–1
L
22 Oct
vs Gent
2–0
W
19 Oct
vs GIL Vicente
1–2
L
15 Oct
@ FC Copenhagen
0–3
L
1.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Aarhus and SC Braga.
Our pick is SC Braga or draw with a 84% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Aarhus vs SC Braga?
On our numbers Aarhus have a 16% chance of winning, the draw 22% and SC Braga 62%.
How many goals will there be in Aarhus vs SC Braga?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Aarhus vs SC Braga?
Our predicted score is Aarhus 0–1 SC Braga, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Aarhus vs SC Braga?
Aarhus vs SC Braga (UEFA Europa Conference League) kicks off on Thursday 5 November 2026 at 18:45 (West Africa Time) at Cepheus Park.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
